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Sun Sep 27 2:45 am

Big 10 Football - Week 5 of 13

Iowa Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Iowa Hawkeyes are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Hawkeyes final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Iowa Hawkeyes fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Iowa Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Iowa Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Iowa
(4‑0)

vs
Ohio St.
(3‑1)
17 Iowa Wins 16% 13% 10% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 11% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Ohio St. Wins 4% 7% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1%
Washington
(3‑1)

vs
USC
(4‑1)
1 Washington Wins 14% 11% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 11% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1%
USC Wins 13% 11% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Rutgers
(1‑3)

vs
Indiana
(4‑0)
1 Rutgers Wins 13% 11% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1%
Current Probabilities 13% 11% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Indiana Wins 13% 11% 10% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Purdue
(1‑3)

vs
Illinois
(2‑2)
1 Purdue Wins 13% 11% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 11% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Illinois Wins 13% 10% 10% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Minnesota
(3‑1)

vs
Michigan
(3‑1)
1 Minnesota Wins 13% 11% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 11% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Michigan Wins 13% 10% 10% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1%
NorthwesternN. Western
(2‑1)

vs
Penn St.
(3‑1)
0 NorthwesternN. Western Wins 13% 11% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 11% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Penn St. Wins 13% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Maryland
(2‑2)

vs
Nebraska
(4‑0)
0 Maryland Wins 13% 11% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1%
Current Probabilities 13% 11% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Nebraska Wins 13% 11% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Wisconsin
(3‑1)

vs
Michigan St.
(2‑2)
0 Wisconsin Wins 13% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 11% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1%
Michigan St. Wins 13% 11% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant