PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Oct 4 11:15 pm

Big 10 Football - Week 7 of 14

Michigan Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Michigan Wolverines are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wolverines final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan Wolverines fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Michigan Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Michigan Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Michigan
(4‑1)

vs
USC
(4‑1)
21 Michigan Wins 19% 16% 13% 11% 9% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 14% 12% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
USC Wins 5% 9% 9% 10% 9% 10% 9% 9% 7% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Rutgers
(3‑2)

vs
Washington
(4‑1)
2 Rutgers Wins 15% 13% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 14% 12% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Washington Wins 14% 12% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Maryland
(4‑1)

vs
Nebraska
(4‑1)
1 Maryland Wins 14% 13% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 14% 12% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Nebraska Wins 15% 12% 10% 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Purdue
(2‑3)

vs
Minnesota
(3‑2)
1 Purdue Wins 14% 13% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 14% 12% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Minnesota Wins 14% 12% 10% 10% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Wisconsin
(2‑3)

vs
Iowa
(3‑2)
1 Wisconsin Wins 14% 12% 11% 10% 9% 9% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 14% 12% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Iowa Wins 14% 12% 10% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Ohio St.
(5‑0)

vs
Illinois
(5‑1)
1 Ohio St. Wins 14% 13% 10% 9% 9% 9% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 14% 12% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Illinois Wins 14% 13% 11% 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Oregon
(5‑0)

vs
Indiana
(5‑0)
0 Oregon Wins 16% 11% 11% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 14% 12% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Indiana Wins 14% 12% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Michigan St.
(3‑2)

vs
UCLA
(1‑4)
0 Michigan St. Wins 14% 13% 11% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 14% 12% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
UCLA Wins 14% 12% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1%
NorthwesternN. Western
(3‑2)

vs
Penn St.
(3‑2)
0 NorthwesternN. Western Wins 14% 13% 11% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 14% 12% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Penn St. Wins 14% 13% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant