PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Oct 4 11:15 pm

Big 10 Football - Week 7 of 14

Oregon Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Oregon Ducks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ducks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Oregon Ducks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Oregon Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Oregon Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Oregon
(5‑0)

vs
Indiana
(5‑0)
25 Oregon Wins 21% 15% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 5% 5% 4% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Indiana Wins 4% 8% 10% 10% 9% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
USC
(4‑1)

vs
Michigan
(4‑1)
2 USC Wins 15% 11% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Michigan Wins 13% 11% 10% 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Illinois
(5‑1)

vs
Ohio St.
(5‑0)
1 Illinois Wins 15% 11% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Ohio St. Wins 12% 12% 10% 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Rutgers
(3‑2)

vs
Washington
(4‑1)
1 Rutgers Wins 13% 12% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Washington Wins 13% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Maryland
(4‑1)

vs
Nebraska
(4‑1)
1 Maryland Wins 14% 12% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Nebraska Wins 14% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 7% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
UCLA
(1‑4)

vs
Michigan St.
(3‑2)
1 UCLA Wins 13% 12% 10% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Michigan St. Wins 13% 11% 10% 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Wisconsin
(2‑3)

vs
Iowa
(3‑2)
1 Wisconsin Wins 13% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Iowa Wins 14% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Purdue
(2‑3)

vs
Minnesota
(3‑2)
0 Purdue Wins 13% 11% 10% 9% 8% 9% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Minnesota Wins 13% 12% 10% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
NorthwesternN. Western
(3‑2)

vs
Penn St.
(3‑2)
0 NorthwesternN. Western Wins 14% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 13% 11% 10% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 6% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Penn St. Wins 13% 12% 10% 10% 9% 8% 8% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant