The Most Important Games for the Oregon Ducks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ducks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Oregon Ducks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Oregon Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| UCLA (3‑6) vs Ohio St. (9‑0) |
12 | UCLA Wins | 2% | 18% | 21% | 18% | 15% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 8% | 29% | 21% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ohio St. Wins | 1% | 6% | 30% | 20% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oregon (8‑1) vs Minnesota (6‑3) |
11 | Oregon Wins | 1% | 10% | 35% | 24% | 18% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 8% | 29% | 21% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Minnesota Wins | <1% | 1% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Wisconsin (3‑6) vs Indiana (10‑0) |
4 | Wisconsin Wins | 6% | 5% | 26% | 21% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 8% | 29% | 21% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Indiana Wins | <1% | 8% | 29% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western (5‑4) vs Michigan (7‑2) |
2 | NorthwesternN. Western Wins | 1% | 9% | 37% | 20% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 8% | 29% | 21% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Michigan Wins | 1% | 7% | 26% | 21% | 19% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| USC (7‑2) vs Iowa (6‑3) |
1 | USC Wins | 1% | 8% | 28% | 21% | 16% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 8% | 29% | 21% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Iowa Wins | 1% | 8% | 32% | 18% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Washington (6‑3) vs Purdue (2‑8) |
0 | Washington Wins | 1% | 8% | 29% | 21% | 15% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 8% | 29% | 21% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Purdue Wins | 1% | 8% | 30% | 21% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Maryland (4‑5) vs Illinois (6‑3) |
0 | Maryland Wins | 1% | 8% | 29% | 21% | 18% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 8% | 29% | 21% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Illinois Wins | 1% | 8% | 29% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Michigan St. (3‑6) vs Penn St. (3‑6) |
0 | Michigan St. Wins | 1% | 8% | 29% | 21% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 8% | 29% | 21% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Penn St. Wins | 1% | 8% | 29% | 21% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||