The Most Important Games for the Penn St. Nittany Lions are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Nittany Lions final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Penn St. Nittany Lions fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Penn St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| Illinois (5‑3) vs Nebraska (5‑3) |
0 | Illinois Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | ||
| Nebraska Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 8% | 5% | ||
| Michigan (5‑3) vs Michigan St. (2‑6) |
0 | Michigan Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | ||
| Michigan St. Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 7% | ||
| Minnesota (5‑3) vs UCLA (8‑0) |
0 | Minnesota Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | ||
| UCLA Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 8% | 6% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western (6‑2) vs Iowa (6‑2) |
0 | NorthwesternN. Western Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 8% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | ||
| Iowa Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 8% | 5% | ||
| Penn St. (4‑4) vs Washington (5‑3) |
0 | Penn St. Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 12% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | ||
| Washington Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 16% | 21% | 17% | 10% | 7% | ||
| Purdue (3‑5) vs Maryland (2‑6) |
0 | Purdue Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 8% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | ||
| Maryland Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 6% | ||
| Wisconsin (5‑3) vs Rutgers (2‑6) |
0 | Wisconsin Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 8% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | ||
| Rutgers Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 11% | 15% | 13% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Ohio St. (6‑2) vs Oregon (5‑3) |
0 | Ohio St. Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 8% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | ||
| Oregon Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | ||