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Sun Sep 27 2:45 am

Big 10 Football - Week 5 of 13

UCLA Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the UCLA Bruins are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bruins final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UCLA Bruins fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

UCLA Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
UCLA Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Maryland
(2‑2)

vs
Nebraska
(4‑0)
3 Maryland Wins 19% 14% 11% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 17% 14% 11% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Nebraska Wins 16% 13% 12% 10% 9% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Rutgers
(1‑3)

vs
Indiana
(4‑0)
2 Rutgers Wins 19% 14% 10% 9% 9% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 17% 14% 11% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Indiana Wins 17% 14% 12% 10% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Michigan St.
(2‑2)

vs
Wisconsin
(3‑1)
1 Michigan St. Wins 17% 14% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 17% 14% 11% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Wisconsin Wins 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Michigan
(3‑1)

vs
Minnesota
(3‑1)
1 Michigan Wins 17% 14% 11% 10% 8% 8% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 17% 14% 11% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Minnesota Wins 17% 13% 11% 10% 9% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Iowa
(4‑0)

vs
Ohio St.
(3‑1)
1 Iowa Wins 18% 13% 11% 10% 9% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 17% 14% 11% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Ohio St. Wins 17% 13% 11% 9% 8% 8% 6% 6% 6% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Illinois
(2‑2)

vs
Purdue
(1‑3)
0 Illinois Wins 17% 13% 11% 9% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 17% 14% 11% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Purdue Wins 17% 13% 12% 10% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
USC
(4‑1)

vs
Washington
(3‑1)
0 USC Wins 16% 14% 11% 10% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 17% 14% 11% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Washington Wins 17% 13% 12% 10% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
NorthwesternN. Western
(2‑1)

vs
Penn St.
(3‑1)
0 NorthwesternN. Western Wins 16% 14% 11% 10% 9% 7% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 17% 14% 11% 9% 8% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Penn St. Wins 16% 14% 12% 9% 8% 8% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant