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Sun Sep 27 2:45 am

Big 10 Football - Week 5 of 13

Wisconsin Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Wisconsin Badgers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Badgers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Wisconsin Badgers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Wisconsin Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Wisconsin Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Wisconsin
(3‑1)

vs
Michigan St.
(2‑2)
13 Wisconsin Wins 11% 10% 9% 8% 8% 7% 8% 6% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1%
Michigan St. Wins 3% 5% 6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 2% 1%
Maryland
(2‑2)

vs
Nebraska
(4‑0)
2 Maryland Wins 11% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 6% 6% 5% 4% 5% 4% 3% 1% 1%
Current Probabilities 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1%
Nebraska Wins 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 4% 2% 2% 1%
Rutgers
(1‑3)

vs
Indiana
(4‑0)
2 Rutgers Wins 10% 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1%
Current Probabilities 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1%
Indiana Wins 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1%
Purdue
(1‑3)

vs
Illinois
(2‑2)
1 Purdue Wins 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1%
Current Probabilities 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1%
Illinois Wins 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1%
Minnesota
(3‑1)

vs
Michigan
(3‑1)
1 Minnesota Wins 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 1% 1%
Current Probabilities 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1%
Michigan Wins 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1%
Penn St.
(3‑1)

vs
NorthwesternN. Western
(2‑1)
0 Penn St. Wins 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 1% 1%
Current Probabilities 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1%
NorthwesternN. Western Wins 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1%
USC
(4‑1)

vs
Washington
(3‑1)
0 USC Wins 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1%
Current Probabilities 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1%
Washington Wins 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1%
Iowa
(4‑0)

vs
Ohio St.
(3‑1)
0 Iowa Wins 10% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 1% 1%
Current Probabilities 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1%
Ohio St. Wins 9% 9% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant