The Most Important Games for the BYU Cougars are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cougars final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. BYU Cougars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
BYU Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| BYU (6‑0) vs UCF (3‑3) |
28 | BYU Wins | 43% | 25% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 23% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UCF Wins | 19% | 22% | 19% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Cincinnati (4‑2) vs Texas Tech (6‑0) |
8 | Cincinnati Wins | 46% | 21% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 23% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Texas Tech Wins | 34% | 24% | 17% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Utah (6‑0) vs Houston (6‑1) |
6 | Utah Wins | 42% | 23% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 23% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Houston Wins | 36% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Colorado (2‑4) vs Oklahoma St. (4‑2) |
2 | Colorado Wins | 38% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 23% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Oklahoma St. Wins | 37% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| TCU (3‑3) vs West Virginia (4‑3) |
2 | TCU Wins | 38% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 23% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| West Virginia Wins | 36% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Iowa St. (3‑3) vs Arizona (5‑1) |
1 | Iowa St. Wins | 39% | 23% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 23% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arizona Wins | 37% | 24% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arizona St. (3‑3) vs Kansas St. (4‑2) |
1 | Arizona St. Wins | 38% | 24% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 23% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Kansas St. Wins | 37% | 24% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Kansas (2‑4) vs Baylor (4‑2) |
0 | Kansas Wins | 39% | 23% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 38% | 23% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Baylor Wins | 38% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||