The Most Important Games for the UCF Knights are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Knights final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UCF Knights fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UCF Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Cincinnati (7‑2) vs Arizona (6‑3) |
0 | Cincinnati Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 25% | 35% | 20% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 25% | 34% | 20% | 15% | ||
| Arizona Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 2% | 26% | 34% | 20% | 16% | ||
| Oklahoma St. (1‑8) vs Kansas St. (4‑5) |
0 | Oklahoma St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 25% | 30% | 23% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 25% | 34% | 20% | 15% | ||
| Kansas St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 2% | 26% | 37% | 17% | 16% | ||
| Arizona St. (6‑3) vs West Virginia (4‑6) |
0 | Arizona St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 30% | 32% | 18% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 25% | 34% | 20% | 15% | ||
| West Virginia Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 47% | 25% | 16% | ||
| UCF (4‑5) vs Texas Tech (9‑1) |
0 | UCF Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 6% | 47% | 22% | 8% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 25% | 34% | 20% | 15% | ||
| Texas Tech Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 38% | 21% | 17% | ||
| Baylor (5‑4) vs Utah (7‑2) |
0 | Baylor Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 27% | 33% | 19% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 25% | 34% | 20% | 15% | ||
| Utah Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 24% | 35% | 20% | 16% | ||
| BYU (8‑1) vs TCU (6‑3) |
0 | BYU Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 26% | 33% | 19% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 25% | 34% | 20% | 15% | ||
| TCU Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 2% | 25% | 35% | 20% | 15% | ||