The Most Important Games for the UC Davis Aggies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aggies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UC Davis Aggies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UC Davis Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UC Davis (12‑8) vs CSU Northridge (11‑10) |
42 | UC Davis Wins | 6% | 12% | 18% | 22% | 19% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 15% | 20% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 5% | ||
| CSU Northridge Wins | 2% | 6% | 12% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | ||
| UC Riverside (7‑14) vs Long Beach St. (8‑13) |
2 | UC Riverside Wins | 4% | 9% | 15% | 19% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 15% | 20% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 5% | ||
| Long Beach St. Wins | 4% | 9% | 14% | 20% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 5% | ||
| UCSB (13‑7) vs UC San Diego (15‑6) |
1 | UCSB Wins | 4% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 15% | 20% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 5% | ||
| UC San Diego Wins | 4% | 10% | 15% | 19% | 18% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 5% | ||
| UC Irvine (14‑7) vs Hawai'i (15‑4) |
1 | UC Irvine Wins | 4% | 9% | 14% | 20% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 15% | 20% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 5% | ||
| Hawai'i Wins | 4% | 9% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 5% | ||
| CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild (8‑13) vs Cal Poly (7‑14) |
1 | CSU BakersfieldCSU Bakersfild Wins | 4% | 9% | 15% | 20% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 9% | 15% | 20% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 5% | ||
| Cal Poly Wins | 4% | 9% | 15% | 19% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 5% | ||