The Most Important Games for the New Mexico St. Aggies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aggies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. New Mexico St. Aggies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
New Mexico St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| New Mexico St. (10‑9) vs Delaware (5‑14) |
24 | New Mexico St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 17% | ||
| Delaware Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 17% | 19% | 25% | ||
| Kennesaw St. (12‑8) vs Western Kentucky (11‑9) |
3 | Kennesaw St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 17% | ||
| Western Kentucky Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 18% | ||
| Liberty (17‑3) vs Middle Tenn. (11‑8) |
2 | Liberty Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 17% | ||
| Middle Tenn. Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 17% | ||
| Sam Houston (13‑7) vs Missouri St. (12‑8) |
1 | Sam Houston Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 17% | ||
| Missouri St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 18% | ||
| Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. (10‑9) vs FIU (10‑10) |
1 | Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 17% | ||
| FIU Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 17% | ||
| Louisiana Tech (11‑8) vs UTEP (7‑13) |
1 | Louisiana Tech Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 16% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 17% | ||
| UTEP Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 18% | ||