The Most Important Games for the Sam Houston Bearkats are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bearkats final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Sam Houston Bearkats fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Sam Houston Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Sam Houston (13‑7) vs Missouri St. (12‑8) |
12 | Sam Houston Wins | 2% | 30% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 24% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Missouri St. Wins | 1% | 15% | 19% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| FIU (10‑10) vs Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. (10‑9) |
1 | FIU Wins | 2% | 24% | 22% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 24% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Wins | 2% | 23% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Kennesaw St. (12‑8) vs Western Kentucky (11‑9) |
1 | Kennesaw St. Wins | 2% | 24% | 21% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 24% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Western Kentucky Wins | 2% | 24% | 21% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Delaware (5‑14) vs New Mexico St. (10‑9) |
1 | Delaware Wins | 2% | 25% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 24% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| New Mexico St. Wins | 2% | 24% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Liberty (17‑3) vs Middle Tenn. (11‑8) |
0 | Liberty Wins | 1% | 26% | 21% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 24% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Middle Tenn. Wins | 3% | 19% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Louisiana Tech (11‑8) vs UTEP (7‑13) |
0 | Louisiana Tech Wins | 1% | 24% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 24% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| UTEP Wins | 2% | 24% | 22% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||