The Most Important Games for the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Hilltoppers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Western Kentucky Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Western Kentucky (11‑9) vs Kennesaw St. (12‑8) |
26 | Western Kentucky Wins | <1% | 7% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 5% | ||
| Kennesaw St. Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 7% | ||
| Liberty (17‑3) vs Middle Tenn. (11‑8) |
2 | Liberty Wins | <1% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 5% | ||
| Middle Tenn. Wins | <1% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 5% | ||
| UTEP (7‑13) vs Louisiana Tech (11‑8) |
1 | UTEP Wins | <1% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 5% | ||
| Louisiana Tech Wins | <1% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | ||
| Delaware (5‑14) vs New Mexico St. (10‑9) |
1 | Delaware Wins | <1% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 5% | ||
| New Mexico St. Wins | <1% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 5% | ||
| Sam Houston (13‑7) vs Missouri St. (12‑8) |
0 | Sam Houston Wins | <1% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 8% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 5% | ||
| Missouri St. Wins | <1% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 5% | ||
| FIU (10‑10) vs Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. (10‑9) |
0 | FIU Wins | <1% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 5% | ||
| Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. Wins | <1% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 5% | ||