The Most Important Games for the Maine Black Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Black Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Maine Black Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Maine Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Maine (7‑2‑2) vs New Hampshire (4‑3‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
7 | Maine Sweeps 1 Game | 11% | 32% | 26% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 30% | 25% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| New Hampshire Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 26% | 25% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (8‑2) vs ConnecticutUConn (7‑5‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Sweeps 2 Games | 9% | 28% | 26% | 17% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 30% | 25% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 33% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Merrimack (3‑6‑1) vs Boston University (5‑5‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Merrimack Sweeps 2 Games | 10% | 32% | 25% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 30% | 25% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boston University Sweeps 2 Games | 9% | 29% | 25% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boston College (8‑2) vs NortheasternN. Eastern (1‑5‑3) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Boston College Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 29% | 25% | 17% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 30% | 25% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern Sweeps 1 Game | 15% | 27% | 23% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Maine Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Maine (7‑2‑2) vs New Hampshire (4‑3‑2) |
7 | Maine Wins | 11% | 32% | 26% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 30% | 25% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| New Hampshire Wins | 5% | 26% | 25% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boston College (8‑2) vs NortheasternN. Eastern (1‑5‑3) |
0 | Boston College Wins | 9% | 29% | 25% | 17% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 30% | 25% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern Wins | 15% | 27% | 23% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Merrimack (3‑6‑1) vs Boston University (5‑5‑1) |
0 | Merrimack Wins | 9% | 30% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 30% | 25% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boston University Wins | 9% | 29% | 25% | 17% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn (7‑5‑1) vs Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (8‑2) |
0 | ConnecticutUConn Wins | 10% | 31% | 23% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 30% | 25% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Wins | 9% | 29% | 25% | 17% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||