The Most Important Games for the Maine Black Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Black Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Maine Black Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Maine Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Maine (15‑12‑3) vs Merrimack (15‑14‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
50 | Maine Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | <1% | 16% | 39% | 19% | 15% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 11% | 29% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Merrimack Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | 2% | 14% | 19% | 20% | 25% | 13% | 6% | 1% | ||
| New Hampshire (12‑16‑1) vs MassachusettsMass. (18‑11) 1 Game Remaining |
7 | New Hampshire Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | <1% | 17% | 24% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 11% | 29% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | <1% | 7% | 32% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (12‑19) vs NortheasternN. Eastern (14‑15‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
6 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | <1% | 12% | 32% | 18% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 11% | 29% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | <1% | 10% | 26% | 19% | 18% | 19% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Providence (20‑8‑2) vs Vermont (12‑18) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Providence Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | <1% | 11% | 29% | 19% | 16% | 16% | 6% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 11% | 29% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Vermont Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | <1% | 11% | 29% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn (17‑8‑4) vs Boston College (18‑10‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | ConnecticutUConn Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | <1% | 11% | 29% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 11% | 29% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Boston College Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | <1% | 12% | 28% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Maine Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Maine (15‑12‑3) vs Merrimack (15‑14‑1) |
50 | Maine Wins | X | X | <1% | 16% | 39% | 19% | 15% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 11% | 29% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Merrimack Wins | X | X | X | 2% | 14% | 19% | 20% | 25% | 13% | 6% | 1% | ||
| New Hampshire (12‑16‑1) vs MassachusettsMass. (18‑11) |
7 | New Hampshire Wins | X | X | <1% | 17% | 24% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 11% | 29% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ||
| MassachusettsMass. Wins | X | X | <1% | 7% | 32% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 7% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell (12‑19) vs NortheasternN. Eastern (14‑15‑1) |
6 | Mass.-LowellMA-Lowell Wins | X | X | <1% | 12% | 32% | 18% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 11% | 29% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern Wins | X | X | <1% | 10% | 26% | 19% | 18% | 19% | 5% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Providence (20‑8‑2) vs Vermont (12‑18) |
1 | Providence Wins | X | X | <1% | 11% | 29% | 19% | 16% | 16% | 6% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 11% | 29% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Vermont Wins | X | X | <1% | 11% | 29% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ||
| ConnecticutUConn (17‑8‑4) vs Boston College (18‑10‑1) |
0 | ConnecticutUConn Wins | X | X | <1% | 11% | 29% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 11% | 29% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Boston College Wins | X | X | <1% | 12% | 28% | 18% | 16% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||