The Mass.-Lowell River Hawks What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Mass.-Lowell plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |
| Win Next Game | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 20% | 23% |
| Current Standings | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 21% | 31% |
| Lose Next Game | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 22% | 34% |
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |
| Mass.-Lowell Sweeps | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 20% | 23% |
| Current Standings | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 21% | 31% |
| Maine Sweeps | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 22% | 34% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 20% | 23% |
| Current Standings | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 21% | 31% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 22% | 34% |
|
Best Case Scenario Mass.-Lowell beats Maine |
Worst Case Scenario Maine beats Mass.-Lowell |
||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | ||
| 16 of 16 | 100% | 19 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 57 | 86% | 14% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 16 | 94% | 18 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 54 | 66% | 32% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 16 | 88% | 17 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 51 | 38% | 49% | 13% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 16 | 81% | 16 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 48 | 14% | 45% | 34% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 16 | 75% | 15 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 45 | 2% | 22% | 46% | 26% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 16 | 69% | 14 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 42 | <1% | 4% | 26% | 45% | 23% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 16 | 63% | 13 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 39 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 27% | 45% | 21% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 16 | 56% | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 36 | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 25% | 44% | 23% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 8 of 16 | 50% | 11 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 33 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 22% | 43% | 27% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| 7 of 16 | 44% | 10 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 30 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 19% | 42% | 30% | 6% | <1% |
| 6 of 16 | 38% | 9 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 27 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 19% | 45% | 30% | 4% |
| 5 of 16 | 31% | 8 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 24 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 24% | 52% | 21% |
| 4 of 16 | 25% | 7 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 21 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 42% | 53% |
| 3 of 16 | 19% | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 19% | 81% |
| 2 of 16 | 13% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 96% |
| 1 of 16 | 6% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 12 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 16 | 0% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 9 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |