The Mass.-Lowell River Hawks What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Mass.-Lowell plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |
| Win Next Game | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 18 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 20% | 21% |
| Current Standings | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 15 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 21% | 30% |
| Lose Next Game | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 35% |
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |
| Mass.-Lowell Sweeps | 6 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 21 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 17% | 12% |
| Current Standings | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 15 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 21% | 30% |
| Maine Sweeps | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 15 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 25% | 41% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | |
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 20% | 21% |
| Current Standings | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 21% | 30% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 35% |
|
Best Case Scenario Mass.-Lowell beats Maine |
Worst Case Scenario Maine beats Mass.-Lowell |
||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | 11 | ||
| 11 of 11 | 100% | 15 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 48 | 33% | 50% | 16% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 11 | 91% | 14 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 45 | 10% | 42% | 40% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 11 | 82% | 13 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 42 | 1% | 13% | 44% | 35% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 11 | 73% | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 39 | <1% | 1% | 10% | 37% | 39% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 11 | 64% | 11 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 36 | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 23% | 41% | 26% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 6 of 11 | 55% | 10 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 33 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 32% | 39% | 17% | 2% | <1% |
| 5 of 11 | 45% | 9 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 30 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 21% | 46% | 27% | 3% |
| 4 of 11 | 36% | 8 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 27 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 18% | 52% | 28% |
| 3 of 11 | 27% | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 24 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 33% | 66% |
| 2 of 11 | 18% | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 21 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 10% | 90% |
| 1 of 11 | 9% | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 18 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 98% |
| 0 of 11 | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |