The Most Important Games for the Fort Wayne Mastodons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mastodons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Fort Wayne Mastodons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Fort Wayne Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Home Court Advantage |
7*** First Round Home Court Advantage |
8*** First Round Home Court Advantage |
9*** First Round Home Court Advantage |
10 | 11 | |||
| Fort Wayne (14‑6) vs Wright St. (9‑9) |
9 | Fort Wayne Wins | 35% | 23% | 18% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 30% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wright St. Wins | 22% | 21% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Green Bay (2‑16) vs Robert Morris (11‑7) |
2 | Green Bay Wins | 31% | 23% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 30% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Robert Morris Wins | 31% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| IU Indy (6‑12) vs Oakland (6‑12) |
1 | IU Indy Wins | 31% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 30% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Oakland Wins | 30% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Northern Kentucky (9‑9) vs Cleveland St. (12‑6) |
0 | Northern Kentucky Wins | 32% | 21% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 30% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Cleveland St. Wins | 30% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Youngstown St. (11‑7) vs Wis. Milwaukee (12‑6) |
0 | Youngstown St. Wins | 30% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 30% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wis. Milwaukee Wins | 31% | 22% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||