The Most Important Games for the Nevada Wolf Pack are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wolf Pack final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nevada Wolf Pack fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Nevada Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Nevada (14‑6) vs UNLV (10‑10) |
19 | Nevada Wins | 9% | 17% | 24% | 26% | 16% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 16% | 22% | 24% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UNLV Wins | 3% | 10% | 18% | 25% | 22% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boise St. (13‑8) vs Grand Canyon (13‑7) |
3 | Boise St. Wins | 8% | 16% | 23% | 26% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 16% | 22% | 24% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Grand Canyon Wins | 8% | 15% | 22% | 24% | 19% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| San José State (6‑15) vs New Mexico (17‑4) |
3 | San José State Wins | 10% | 18% | 22% | 23% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 16% | 22% | 24% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| New Mexico Wins | 8% | 15% | 22% | 24% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wyoming (12‑8) vs Utah St. (16‑3) |
2 | Wyoming Wins | 10% | 17% | 23% | 23% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 16% | 22% | 24% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Utah St. Wins | 8% | 16% | 22% | 25% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Colorado St. (12‑8) vs San Diego St. (14‑5) |
2 | Colorado St. Wins | 9% | 17% | 22% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 16% | 22% | 24% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| San Diego St. Wins | 7% | 16% | 22% | 25% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fresno St. (9‑11) vs Air Force (3‑17) |
0 | Fresno St. Wins | 8% | 16% | 23% | 25% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 16% | 22% | 24% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Air Force Wins | 8% | 16% | 22% | 24% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||