The Most Important Games for the New Mexico Lobos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lobos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. New Mexico Lobos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
New Mexico Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| New Mexico (17‑4) vs San José State (6‑15) |
10 | New Mexico Wins | 27% | 27% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| San José State Wins | 17% | 22% | 22% | 18% | 13% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UNLV (10‑10) vs Nevada (14‑6) |
2 | UNLV Wins | 28% | 28% | 21% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nevada Wins | 26% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boise St. (13‑8) vs Grand Canyon (13‑7) |
2 | Boise St. Wins | 26% | 27% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Grand Canyon Wins | 26% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wyoming (12‑8) vs Utah St. (16‑3) |
1 | Wyoming Wins | 29% | 27% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Utah St. Wins | 26% | 26% | 21% | 15% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fresno St. (9‑11) vs Air Force (3‑17) |
1 | Fresno St. Wins | 26% | 26% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Air Force Wins | 26% | 26% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Colorado St. (12‑8) vs San Diego St. (14‑5) |
1 | Colorado St. Wins | 31% | 25% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 26% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| San Diego St. Wins | 25% | 26% | 21% | 15% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||