The Most Important Games for the San José State Spartans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Spartans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. San José State Spartans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
San José State Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| San José State (2‑3) vs Wyoming (2‑3) |
8 | San José State Wins | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% | ||
| Wyoming Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 8% | ||
| Air Force (1‑4) vs UNLV (5‑0) |
2 | Air Force Wins | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% | ||
| UNLV Wins | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | ||
| New Mexico (3‑2) vs Boise State (3‑2) |
1 | New Mexico Wins | 4% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% | ||
| Boise State Wins | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% | ||
| Nevada (1‑4) vs San Diego State (4‑1) |
1 | Nevada Wins | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% | ||
| San Diego State Wins | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Colorado St. (1‑4) vs Fresno State (5‑1) |
0 | Colorado St. Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% | ||
| Fresno State Wins | 4% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Utah St. (3‑2) vs Hawaii (4‑2) |
0 | Utah St. Wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% | ||
| Hawaii Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% | ||