The Utah St. Aggies What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Utah St. plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
Win Next Game | 3 | 3 | X | X | X | 13% | 22% | 20% | 27% | 14% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
Current Standings | 2 | 3 | X | X | X | 8% | 13% | 12% | 17% | 23% | 21% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
Lose Next Game | 2 | 4 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 5% | 33% | 44% | 13% | 2% | <1% |
Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
Current Standings | X | X | X | 8% | 13% | 12% | 17% | 23% | 21% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
Best Case Scenario None |
Worst Case Scenario None |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | ||
2 of 2 | 100% | 4 | 3 | X | X | X | 38% | 38% | 21% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
1 of 2 | 50% | 3 | 4 | X | X | X | 3% | 10% | 14% | 30% | 24% | 17% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
0 of 2 | 0% | 2 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 33% | 48% | 17% | 2% | <1% |