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Sat Nov 7 4:30 am

NBA In-Season Tournament - Week 3 of 5

Grizzlies What If?

The Grizzlies What If table presents qualifing probabilities depended upon how Grizzlies plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Grizzlies What If?

Next Game - Pelicans (0‑1)

  Resultant Record Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
  W L Pts 1*
Advancement to the
Knock-Out Round
2**
Possible advancement to
the Knock-Out Round
3
Win Next Game 1 1 1 10% 26% 64%
Current Standings 0 1 0 6% 19% 75%
Lose Next Game 0 2 0 <1% 11% 88%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
  1*
Advancement to the
Knock-Out Round
2**
Possible advancement to
the Knock-Out Round
3
Best Case Scenario 17% 24% 59%
Current Standings 6% 19% 75%
Worst Case Scenario X 11% 89%
Best Case Scenario
   Grizzlies beats Pelicans
   Clippers beats Thunder
Worst Case Scenario
   Pelicans beats Grizzlies
   Thunder beats Clippers
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the qualifing probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
W L Pts 1*
Advancement to the
Knock-Out Round
2**
Possible advancement to
the Knock-Out Round
3
3 of 3 100% 3 1 3 33% 54% 13%
2 of 3 67% 2 2 2 <1% 18% 82%
1 of 3 33% 1 3 1 X X 100%
0 of 3 0% 0 4 0 X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes advancement to the knock-out round
  • ** denotes possible advancement to the knock-out round