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Sat Nov 8 1:15 am

NBA In-Season Tournament - Week 3 of 5

Raptors What If?

The Raptors What If table presents qualifing probabilities depended upon how Raptors plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Raptors What If?

Next Game - Wizards (0‑1)

  Resultant Record Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
  W L Pts 1*
Advancement to the
Knock-Out Round
2**
Possible advancement to
the Knock-Out Round
3
Win Next Game 3 0 3 94% 5% 1%
Current Standings 2 0 2 81% 10% 10%
Lose Next Game 2 1 2 56% 19% 25%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
  1*
Advancement to the
Knock-Out Round
2**
Possible advancement to
the Knock-Out Round
3
Best Case Scenario 94% 5% 1%
Current Standings 81% 10% 10%
Worst Case Scenario 56% 19% 25%
Best Case Scenario
   Raptors beats Wizards
Worst Case Scenario
   Wizards beats Raptors
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the qualifing probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
W L Pts 1*
Advancement to the
Knock-Out Round
2**
Possible advancement to
the Knock-Out Round
3
2 of 2 100% 4 0 4 100% ^ ^
1 of 2 50% 3 1 3 80% 18% 2%
0 of 2 0% 2 2 2 <1% 11% 89%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes advancement to the knock-out round
  • ** denotes possible advancement to the knock-out round