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Wed Oct 21 9:30 pm

NBA In-Season Tournament - Week 1 of 5

Thunder What If?

The Thunder What If table presents qualifing probabilities depended upon how Thunder plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Thunder What If?

Next Game - Grizzlies (0‑0)

  Resultant Record Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
  W L Pts 1*
Advancement to the
Knock-Out Round
2**
Possible advancement to
the Knock-Out Round
3
Win Next Game 1 0 1 33% 24% 43%
Current Standings 0 0 0 22% 21% 58%
Lose Next Game 0 1 0 12% 18% 70%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
  1*
Advancement to the
Knock-Out Round
2**
Possible advancement to
the Knock-Out Round
3
Best Case Scenario 33% 24% 43%
Current Standings 22% 21% 58%
Worst Case Scenario 12% 18% 70%
Best Case Scenario
   Thunder beats Grizzlies
Worst Case Scenario
   Grizzlies beats Thunder
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the qualifing probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
W L Pts 1*
Advancement to the
Knock-Out Round
2**
Possible advancement to
the Knock-Out Round
3
4 of 4 100% 4 0 4 100% ^ ^
3 of 4 75% 3 1 3 50% 36% 14%
2 of 4 50% 2 2 2 <1% 17% 83%
1 of 4 25% 1 3 1 X X 100%
0 of 4 0% 0 4 0 X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes advancement to the knock-out round
  • ** denotes possible advancement to the knock-out round