Minnesota-Duluth Bulldogs What If?

	Resultant Record					Regular Season Finish
	WRi Wins in Regulation	WOSi Wins in OT and SO	LOSi Losses in OT and SO	LRi Losses in Regulation	Ptsi Pts = 3WR + 2WOS + 1LOS + 0LR	1^* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange	2^* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange	3^* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange	4^* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange	5^** First Round Bye	6^** First Round Bye	7^** First Round Bye	8	9
Win Next Game	5	0	1	5	16	<1%	1%	5%	9%	14%	19%	23%	28%	<1%
Current Standings	4	0	1	5	13	<1%	1%	4%	6%	11%	15%	23%	40%	<1%
Lose Next Game	4	0	1	6	13	<1%	1%	2%	5%	9%	15%	22%	47%	<1%

	Resultant Record					Regular Season Finish
	WRi Wins in Regulation	WOSi Wins in OT and SO	LOSi Losses in OT and SO	LRi Losses in Regulation	Ptsi Pts = 3WR + 2WOS + 1LOS + 0LR	1^* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange	2^* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange	3^* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange	4^* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange	5^** First Round Bye	6^** First Round Bye	7^** First Round Bye	8	9
Minnesota-Duluth Sweeps	6	0	1	5	19	<1%	2%	7%	11%	18%	22%	25%	15%	<1%
Current Standings	4	0	1	5	13	<1%	1%	4%	6%	11%	15%	23%	40%	<1%
Colorado College Sweeps	4	0	1	7	13	<1%	<1%	2%	4%	7%	13%	21%	53%	<1%

	Regular Season Finish
	1^* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange	2^* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange	3^* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange	4^* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange	5^** First Round Bye	6^** First Round Bye	7^** First Round Bye	8	9
Best Case Scenario	<1%	1%	5%	9%	14%	19%	23%	28%	<1%
Current Standings	<1%	1%	4%	6%	11%	15%	23%	40%	<1%
Worst Case Scenario	<1%	1%	2%	5%	9%	15%	22%	47%	<1%
Best Case Scenario Minnesota-Duluth beats Colorado College					Worst Case Scenario Colorado College beats Minnesota-Duluth

Notes
Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three

Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	Resultant Record					Regular Season Finish
Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	WRi Wins in Regulation	WOSi Wins in OT and SO	LOSi Losses in OT and SO	LRi Losses in Regulation	Ptsi Pts = 3WR + 2WOS + 1LOS + 0LR	1^* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange	2^* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange	3^* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange	4^* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange	5^** First Round Bye	6^** First Round Bye	7^** First Round Bye	8	9
14 of 14	100%	18	0	1	5	55	59%	41%	^	^	^	^	^	^	^
13 of 14	93%	17	0	1	6	52	37%	58%	5%	<1%	^	^	^	^	^
12 of 14	86%	16	0	1	7	49	17%	60%	22%	<1%	<1%	^	^	^	^
11 of 14	79%	15	0	1	8	46	4%	38%	50%	8%	<1%	<1%	^	^	^
10 of 14	71%	14	0	1	9	43	<1%	11%	50%	34%	5%	<1%	<1%	^	^
9 of 14	64%	13	0	1	10	40	<1%	1%	18%	48%	30%	3%	<1%	^	^
8 of 14	57%	12	0	1	11	37	<1%	<1%	2%	22%	47%	26%	3%	<1%	^
7 of 14	50%	11	0	1	12	34	X	<1%	<1%	3%	24%	48%	24%	2%	<1%
6 of 14	43%	10	0	1	13	31	X	X	<1%	<1%	4%	29%	50%	18%	<1%
5 of 14	36%	9	0	1	14	28	X	X	X	<1%	<1%	7%	43%	50%	<1%
4 of 14	29%	8	0	1	15	25	X	X	X	X	<1%	1%	20%	79%	<1%
3 of 14	21%	7	0	1	16	22	X	X	X	X	<1%	<1%	5%	95%	<1%
2 of 14	14%	6	0	1	17	19	X	X	X	X	X	<1%	1%	98%	1%
1 of 14	7%	5	0	1	18	16	X	X	X	X	X	X	<1%	96%	4%
0 of 14	0%	4	0	1	19	13	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	84%	16%

Notes
^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
Table Sorting Method
* denotes first round bye and second round home ice advantage in the post season conference tournament
** denotes first round home ice advantage in the post season conference tournament

NCHC Hockey - Week 16 of 23