The Minnesota-Duluth Bulldogs What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Minnesota-Duluth plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |
| Win Next Game | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1% | 3% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 21% | 20% | 15% | 3% |
| Current Standings | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 16% | 20% | 21% | 19% | 6% |
| Lose Next Game | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 16% | 21% | 21% | 20% | 6% |
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |
| Minnesota-Duluth Sweeps | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 21% | 18% | 12% | 2% |
| Current Standings | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 16% | 20% | 21% | 19% | 6% |
| Western Michigan Sweeps | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 21% | 22% | 21% | 7% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 1% | 3% | 7% | 12% | 18% | 21% | 20% | 15% | 3% |
| Current Standings | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 16% | 20% | 21% | 19% | 6% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 16% | 21% | 21% | 20% | 6% |
|
Best Case Scenario Minnesota-Duluth beats Western Michigan |
Worst Case Scenario Western Michigan beats Minnesota-Duluth |
||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and 2nd Round Home Ice Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | ||
| 20 of 20 | 100% | 22 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 66 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 20 | 95% | 21 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 63 | 98% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 20 | 90% | 20 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 60 | 87% | 13% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 20 | 85% | 19 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 57 | 66% | 33% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 20 | 80% | 18 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 54 | 38% | 53% | 9% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 20 | 75% | 17 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 51 | 14% | 53% | 31% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 20 | 70% | 16 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 48 | 3% | 31% | 51% | 15% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 20 | 65% | 15 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 45 | <1% | 10% | 47% | 39% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 20 | 60% | 14 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 42 | <1% | 2% | 23% | 54% | 21% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 20 | 55% | 13 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 39 | <1% | <1% | 6% | 42% | 45% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 10 of 20 | 50% | 12 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 36 | X | <1% | 1% | 17% | 54% | 26% | 2% | <1% | ^ |
| 9 of 20 | 45% | 11 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 33 | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 37% | 48% | 11% | <1% | <1% |
| 8 of 20 | 40% | 10 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 30 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 16% | 52% | 29% | 3% | <1% |
| 7 of 20 | 35% | 9 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 27 | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 36% | 49% | 12% | <1% |
| 6 of 20 | 30% | 8 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 24 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 14% | 54% | 32% | 1% |
| 5 of 20 | 25% | 7 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 21 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 34% | 59% | 5% |
| 4 of 20 | 20% | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 11% | 69% | 20% |
| 3 of 20 | 15% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 53% | 46% |
| 2 of 20 | 10% | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 12 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 27% | 73% |
| 1 of 20 | 5% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 9 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 8% | 92% |
| 0 of 20 | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |