The Minnesota-Duluth Bulldogs What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Minnesota-Duluth plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
3* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
4* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Win Next Game | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 9% | 23% | 33% | 20% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 7% | 21% | 32% | 20% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 4% | 16% | 31% | 23% | 14% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
3* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
4* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Minnesota-Duluth Sweeps | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 10% | 25% | 36% | 19% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 7% | 21% | 32% | 20% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| St. Cloud State Sweeps | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 2% | 11% | 26% | 25% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
3* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
4* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Best Case Scenario | 10% | 22% | 30% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 7% | 21% | 32% | 20% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 6% | 20% | 34% | 21% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Miami beats Arizona St. Colorado College beats North Dakota |
Worst Case Scenario Arizona St. beats Miami North Dakota beats Colorado College |
||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
3* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
4* First Round Home Ice Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | ||
| 12 of 12 | 100% | 17 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 57 | 84% | 16% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 12 | 92% | 16 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 54 | 58% | 40% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 12 | 83% | 15 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 29% | 57% | 15% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 12 | 75% | 14 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 48 | 9% | 51% | 39% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 12 | 67% | 13 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 45 | 1% | 27% | 61% | 11% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 12 | 58% | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 42 | <1% | 7% | 54% | 36% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 12 | 50% | 11 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 39 | <1% | 1% | 26% | 53% | 19% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 12 | 42% | 10 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 36 | X | <1% | 5% | 37% | 45% | 13% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| 4 of 12 | 33% | 9 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 33 | X | <1% | <1% | 9% | 39% | 41% | 10% | 1% | <1% |
| 3 of 12 | 25% | 8 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 30 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 11% | 42% | 38% | 8% | <1% |
| 2 of 12 | 17% | 7 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 27 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 13% | 47% | 35% | 5% |
| 1 of 12 | 8% | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 24 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 19% | 55% | 25% |
| 0 of 12 | 0% | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 21 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 38% | 60% |