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Tue Jan 14 8:30 am

NCHC Hockey - Week 16 of 23

North Dakota Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the North Dakota Fighting Sioux are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fighting Sioux final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. North Dakota Fighting Sioux fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

North Dakota Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Remaining
Games Winner
North Dakota Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye and 2nd Round
Home Ice Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and 2nd Round
Home Ice Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and 2nd Round
Home Ice Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and 2nd Round
Home Ice Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8 9
North Dakota
(12‑8‑1)

vs
Western Michigan
(13‑4‑1)

2 Games Remaining
5 North Dakota Sweeps 2 Games 12% 15% 22% 22% 14% 9% 5% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 5% 10% 18% 21% 18% 14% 10% 5% <1%
Western Michigan Sweeps 2 Games 1% 5% 14% 22% 21% 18% 13% 6% <1%
Miami
(3‑15‑2)

vs
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha
(10‑10)

2 Games Remaining
2 Miami Sweeps 2 Games 5% 10% 20% 23% 17% 12% 8% 4% <1%
Current Probabilities 5% 10% 18% 21% 18% 14% 10% 5% <1%
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha Sweeps 2 Games 5% 10% 17% 21% 17% 14% 10% 5% <1%
Arizona St.
(11‑8‑1)

vs
St. Cloud State
(11‑9)

2 Games Remaining
1 Arizona St. Sweeps 2 Games 5% 9% 16% 25% 19% 14% 9% 4% <1%
Current Probabilities 5% 10% 18% 21% 18% 14% 10% 5% <1%
St. Cloud State Sweeps 2 Games 6% 11% 19% 18% 16% 14% 10% 5% <1%
Colorado College
(10‑9‑1)

vs
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth
(8‑11‑1)

2 Games Remaining
0 Colorado College Sweeps 2 Games 5% 10% 18% 21% 18% 14% 10% 5% <1%
Current Probabilities 5% 10% 18% 21% 18% 14% 10% 5% <1%
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth Sweeps 2 Games 5% 10% 18% 22% 17% 14% 9% 5% <1%


North Dakota Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
North Dakota Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye and 2nd Round
Home Ice Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and 2nd Round
Home Ice Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and 2nd Round
Home Ice Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and 2nd Round
Home Ice Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8 9
North Dakota
(12‑8‑1)

vs
Western Michigan
(13‑4‑1)
3 North Dakota Wins 8% 13% 21% 22% 16% 11% 7% 2% <1%
Current Probabilities 5% 10% 18% 21% 18% 14% 10% 5% <1%
Western Michigan Wins 2% 8% 17% 22% 20% 15% 11% 6% <1%
Miami
(3‑15‑2)

vs
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha
(10‑10)
1 Miami Wins 5% 10% 19% 24% 17% 13% 9% 4% <1%
Current Probabilities 5% 10% 18% 21% 18% 14% 10% 5% <1%
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha Wins 5% 9% 17% 21% 18% 13% 10% 5% <1%
Arizona St.
(11‑8‑1)

vs
St. Cloud State
(11‑9)
1 Arizona St. Wins 5% 10% 17% 23% 18% 13% 10% 4% <1%
Current Probabilities 5% 10% 18% 21% 18% 14% 10% 5% <1%
St. Cloud State Wins 5% 10% 19% 20% 17% 14% 10% 5% <1%
Colorado College
(10‑9‑1)

vs
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth
(8‑11‑1)
1 Colorado College Wins 5% 10% 18% 21% 18% 14% 10% 4% <1%
Current Probabilities 5% 10% 18% 21% 18% 14% 10% 5% <1%
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth Wins 5% 10% 18% 22% 18% 13% 9% 5% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first round bye and second round home ice advantage in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round home ice advantage in the post season conference tournament