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Wed Nov 11 10:00 pm

NCHC Hockey - Week 7 of 22

St. Thomas Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the St. Thomas Tommies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tommies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Thomas Tommies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

St. Thomas Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Remaining
Games Winner
St. Thomas Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
3*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
4*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
5*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
6 7 8 9 10
St. Thomas
(4‑4)

vs
North Dakota
(5‑3‑1)

2 Games Remaining
11 St. Thomas Sweeps 2 Games 3% 5% 8% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 13% 11%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 6% 8% 9% 10% 12% 14% 15% 19%
North Dakota Sweeps 2 Games 1% 2% 4% 6% 9% 11% 12% 16% 17% 23%
St. Cloud State
(3‑5‑1)

vs
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth
(7‑3‑2)

2 Games Remaining
1 St. Cloud State Sweeps 2 Games 2% 4% 6% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 16% 22%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 6% 8% 9% 10% 12% 14% 15% 19%
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth Sweeps 2 Games 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 11% 12% 15% 15% 19%
Western Michigan
(6‑2‑1)

vs
Colorado College
(7‑2‑1)

2 Games Remaining
0 Western Michigan Sweeps 2 Games 2% 4% 6% 8% 9% 10% 12% 14% 16% 19%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 6% 8% 9% 10% 12% 14% 15% 19%
Colorado College Sweeps 2 Games 2% 4% 6% 8% 9% 10% 12% 14% 16% 20%
Miami
(7‑3)

vs
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha
(3‑4‑1)

2 Games Remaining
0 Miami Sweeps 2 Games 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 10% 12% 13% 16% 19%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 6% 8% 9% 10% 12% 14% 15% 19%
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha Sweeps 2 Games 2% 4% 6% 8% 9% 10% 12% 14% 15% 20%


St. Thomas Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
St. Thomas Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
3*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
4*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
5*
First Round Home
Ice Advantange
6 7 8 9 10
St. Thomas
(4‑4)

vs
North Dakota
(5‑3‑1)
5 St. Thomas Wins 2% 5% 7% 9% 10% 11% 12% 14% 15% 15%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 6% 8% 9% 10% 12% 14% 15% 19%
North Dakota Wins 1% 3% 5% 7% 9% 10% 13% 15% 16% 21%
Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha
(3‑4‑1)

vs
Miami
(7‑3)
0 Nebraska-OmahaNebr-Omaha Wins 2% 4% 6% 8% 9% 10% 12% 14% 15% 20%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 6% 8% 9% 10% 12% 14% 15% 19%
Miami Wins 2% 4% 6% 8% 9% 10% 12% 14% 15% 20%
St. Cloud State
(3‑5‑1)

vs
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth
(7‑3‑2)
0 St. Cloud State Wins 2% 4% 6% 8% 9% 10% 12% 13% 16% 21%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 6% 8% 9% 10% 12% 14% 15% 19%
Minnesota-DuluthMN-Duluth Wins 2% 4% 6% 8% 9% 11% 12% 14% 15% 19%
Colorado College
(7‑2‑1)

vs
Western Michigan
(6‑2‑1)
0 Colorado College Wins 2% 4% 6% 8% 9% 11% 12% 14% 15% 19%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 6% 8% 9% 10% 12% 14% 15% 19%
Western Michigan Wins 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 11% 12% 13% 16% 19%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the post season conference tournament