The Most Important Games for the UALR Trojans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Trojans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UALR Trojans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UALR Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UALR (9‑11) vs Tenn-MartinTN-Martin (15‑5) |
43 | UALR Wins | 6% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 9% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 2% | ||
| Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Wins | 1% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 18% | 19% | 18% | 2% | ||
| Tennessee Tech (7‑14) vs Tennessee St. (13‑7) |
5 | Tennessee Tech Wins | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 18% | 15% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 2% | ||
| Tennessee St. Wins | 3% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 19% | 16% | 2% | ||
| Western Illinois (4‑17) vs SE Missouri St. (11‑10) |
4 | Western Illinois Wins | 3% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 2% | ||
| SE Missouri St. Wins | 3% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 2% | ||
| SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville (13‑8) vs Morehead St. (11‑10) |
2 | SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Wins | 3% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 19% | 16% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 2% | ||
| Morehead St. Wins | 3% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 18% | 16% | 2% | ||
| Southern Indiana (5‑15) vs Lindenwood (12‑9) |
1 | Southern Indiana Wins | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 2% | ||
| Lindenwood Wins | 4% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 18% | 16% | 2% | ||