The Most Important Games for the UALR Trojans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Trojans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UALR Trojans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UALR Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UALR (2‑7) vs Morehead St. (3‑7) |
19 | UALR Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% | ||
| Morehead St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 59% | ||
| Tennessee St. (6‑4) vs Tenn-MartinTN-Martin (8‑3) |
1 | Tennessee St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% | ||
| Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 56% | ||
| Lindenwood (5‑4) vs Eastern Illinois (2‑7) |
1 | Lindenwood Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% | ||
| Eastern Illinois Wins | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 55% | ||
| Tennessee Tech (5‑6) vs SE Missouri St. (4‑6) |
0 | Tennessee Tech Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 54% | ||
| SE Missouri St. Wins | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 55% | ||