The Most Important Games for the Western Illinois Leathernecks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Leathernecks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Western Illinois Leathernecks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Western Illinois Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Western Illinois (4‑17) vs SE Missouri St. (11‑10) |
0 | Western Illinois Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| SE Missouri St. Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Southern Indiana (5‑15) vs Lindenwood (12‑9) |
0 | Southern Indiana Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Lindenwood Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Tenn-MartinTN-Martin (15‑5) vs UALR (9‑11) |
0 | Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| UALR Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Tennessee St. (13‑7) vs Tennessee Tech (7‑14) |
0 | Tennessee St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Tennessee Tech Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Morehead St. (11‑10) vs SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville (13‑8) |
0 | Morehead St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||