The Most Important Games for the Western Illinois Leathernecks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Leathernecks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Western Illinois Leathernecks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Western Illinois Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Morehead St. (3‑7) vs UALR (2‑7) |
1 | Morehead St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 50% | ||
| UALR Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 50% | ||
| Lindenwood (5‑4) vs Eastern Illinois (2‑7) |
1 | Lindenwood Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 50% | ||
| Eastern Illinois Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 51% | ||
| Tenn-MartinTN-Martin (8‑3) vs Tennessee St. (6‑4) |
1 | Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 50% | ||
| Tennessee St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 51% | ||
| Tennessee Tech (5‑6) vs SE Missouri St. (4‑6) |
0 | Tennessee Tech Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 50% | ||
| SE Missouri St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 51% | ||