The Most Important Games for the Alabama Crimson Tide are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crimson Tide final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Alabama Crimson Tide fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Alabama Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Alabama (7‑1) vs LSU (5‑3) |
44 | Alabama Wins | 49% | 31% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 40% | 29% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| LSU Wins | 10% | 26% | 22% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Missouri (6‑2) vs Texas A&M (8‑0) |
7 | Missouri Wins | 59% | 16% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 40% | 29% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas A&M Wins | 34% | 34% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Mississippi St.Miss. St. (5‑4) vs Georgia (7‑1) |
6 | Mississippi St.Miss. St. Wins | 41% | 33% | 14% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 40% | 29% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Georgia Wins | 39% | 29% | 13% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Vanderbilt (7‑2) vs Auburn (4‑5) |
1 | Vanderbilt Wins | 41% | 29% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 40% | 29% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Auburn Wins | 40% | 29% | 13% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Kentucky (3‑5) vs Florida (3‑5) |
1 | Kentucky Wins | 40% | 30% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 40% | 29% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Florida Wins | 40% | 29% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||