The Most Important Games for the Alabama Crimson Tide are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crimson Tide final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Alabama Crimson Tide fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Alabama Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Alabama (8‑2) vs Oklahoma (5‑5) |
30 | Alabama Wins | 3% | 27% | 32% | 18% | 10% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 19% | 23% | 14% | 10% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oklahoma Wins | X | X | 1% | 3% | 11% | 37% | 14% | 17% | 15% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Auburn (4‑6) vs Texas A&M (8‑2) |
17 | Auburn Wins | 7% | 27% | 17% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 19% | 23% | 14% | 10% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas A&M Wins | 1% | 16% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 17% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Kentucky (4‑6) vs Texas (9‑1) |
14 | Kentucky Wins | 9% | 24% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 19% | 23% | 14% | 10% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas Wins | 1% | 19% | 23% | 15% | 11% | 16% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Florida (5‑5) vs Ole Miss (8‑2) |
4 | Florida Wins | 2% | 21% | 22% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 19% | 23% | 14% | 10% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ole Miss Wins | 2% | 18% | 24% | 14% | 8% | 19% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Mississippi St.Miss. St. (2‑8) vs Missouri (7‑3) |
1 | Mississippi St.Miss. St. Wins | 2% | 20% | 22% | 15% | 11% | 15% | 6% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 19% | 23% | 14% | 10% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Missouri Wins | 2% | 19% | 23% | 14% | 10% | 15% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Vanderbilt (6‑4) vs LSU (6‑4) |
1 | Vanderbilt Wins | 2% | 19% | 22% | 15% | 12% | 16% | 4% | 3% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 19% | 23% | 14% | 10% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| LSU Wins | 2% | 19% | 23% | 14% | 9% | 15% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||