The Most Important Games for the Alabama Crimson Tide are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crimson Tide final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Alabama Crimson Tide fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Alabama Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Alabama (7‑2) vs Vanderbilt (4‑5) |
45 | Alabama Wins | 19% | 34% | 29% | 10% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 29% | 27% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Vanderbilt Wins | <1% | 7% | 18% | 23% | 21% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| LSU (6‑3) vs Texas (7‑2) |
14 | LSU Wins | 15% | 37% | 24% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 29% | 27% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas Wins | 15% | 22% | 29% | 14% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas A&M (4‑5) vs Tennessee (7‑2) |
8 | Texas A&M Wins | 16% | 33% | 27% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 29% | 27% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tennessee Wins | 14% | 27% | 27% | 12% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Missouri (6‑3) vs Georgia (8‑1) |
8 | Missouri Wins | 24% | 25% | 20% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 29% | 27% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Georgia Wins | 12% | 29% | 28% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Kentucky (7‑2) vs Florida (5‑4) |
4 | Kentucky Wins | 18% | 26% | 25% | 11% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 29% | 27% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Florida Wins | 7% | 33% | 32% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Carolina (6‑3) vs Arkansas (3‑6) |
4 | South Carolina Wins | 16% | 29% | 27% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 29% | 27% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arkansas Wins | 12% | 28% | 28% | 13% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oklahoma (5‑4) vs Ole Miss (6‑3) |
2 | Oklahoma Wins | 14% | 30% | 28% | 13% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 29% | 27% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ole Miss Wins | 15% | 27% | 25% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Mississippi St.Miss. St. (4‑5) vs Auburn (5‑4) |
2 | Mississippi St.Miss. St. Wins | 17% | 28% | 26% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 29% | 27% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Auburn Wins | 14% | 29% | 27% | 12% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||