The Arkansas Razorbacks What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Arkansas plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |
Win Next Game | 4 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 12% | 45% | 26% | 13% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Current Standings | 3 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 13% | 15% | 34% | 31% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
Lose Next Game | 3 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 11% | 42% | 43% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |
Current Standings | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 13% | 15% | 34% | 31% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
Best Case Scenario None |
Worst Case Scenario None |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | ||
1 of 1 | 100% | 4 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 12% | 44% | 26% | 13% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
0 of 1 | 0% | 3 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 11% | 43% | 43% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ |