The Ole Miss Rebels What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Ole Miss plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |
Win Next Game | 5 | 2 | 3% | 19% | 23% | 28% | 17% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Current Standings | 4 | 2 | 2% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Lose Next Game | 4 | 3 | X | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 28% | 29% | 14% | 3% | 6% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |
Best Case Scenario | 16% | 29% | 29% | 14% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Current Standings | 2% | 12% | 15% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Worst Case Scenario | X | X | X | 3% | 12% | 28% | 31% | 14% | 3% | 5% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Best Case Scenario Auburn beats Texas A&M Ole Miss beats Florida Kentucky beats Texas |
Worst Case Scenario Texas A&M beats Auburn Florida beats Ole Miss Texas beats Kentucky |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | ||
2 of 2 | 100% | 6 | 2 | 3% | 21% | 27% | 31% | 17% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
1 of 2 | 50% | 5 | 3 | X | X | <1% | 4% | 14% | 31% | 32% | 16% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
0 of 2 | 0% | 4 | 4 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 49% | 25% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |