The Tennessee Volunteers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Tennessee plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |
Win Next Game | 6 | 2 | 3% | 18% | 15% | 23% | 27% | 14% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Current Standings | 5 | 2 | 2% | 11% | 9% | 15% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Lose Next Game | 5 | 3 | X | X | 1% | 5% | 11% | 18% | 27% | 24% | 14% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |
Best Case Scenario | 12% | 14% | 24% | 17% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Current Standings | 2% | 11% | 9% | 15% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Worst Case Scenario | X | 10% | 7% | 5% | 21% | 23% | 14% | 12% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Best Case Scenario Auburn beats Texas A&M Florida beats Ole Miss Kentucky beats Texas |
Worst Case Scenario Texas A&M beats Auburn Ole Miss beats Florida Texas beats Kentucky |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | ||
1 of 1 | 100% | 6 | 2 | 3% | 19% | 15% | 23% | 26% | 13% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
0 of 1 | 0% | 5 | 3 | X | X | 1% | 5% | 11% | 18% | 28% | 24% | 14% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |