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Sat Nov 7 11:45 pm

SEC Football - Week 11 of 13

Texas A&M What If?

The Texas A&M Aggies What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Texas A&M plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Texas A&M What If?

Next Game - Tennessee (7‑2)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
 2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Next Game 2 5 X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 11% 19% 39% 18% 2%
Current Standings 1 5 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 6% 10% 29% 35% 15%
Lose Next Game 1 6 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% 27% 44% 20%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
 2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Current Standings X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 6% 10% 29% 35% 15%
Best Case Scenario
None 		Worst Case Scenario
None
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
 2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
3 of 3 100% 4 5 X X X X X <1% 1% 11% 25% 29% 22% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1%
2 of 3 67% 3 6 X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 9% 28% 42% 16% 3% <1%
1 of 3 33% 2 7 X X X X X X X X X X X X 6% 48% 39% 7%
0 of 3 0% 1 8 X X X X X X X X X X X X X 18% 50% 32%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant