The Most Important Games for the Texas Longhorns are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Longhorns final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Texas Longhorns fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Texas Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |||
| Texas (6‑2) vs Vanderbilt (7‑1) |
9 | Texas Wins | 3% | 6% | 9% | 15% | 17% | 24% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Vanderbilt Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 21% | 21% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| South Carolina (3‑5) vs Ole Miss (7‑1) |
3 | South Carolina Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ole Miss Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 10% | 12% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Arkansas (2‑6) vs Mississippi St.Miss. St. (4‑4) |
0 | Arkansas Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 17% | 15% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mississippi St.Miss. St. Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 17% | 15% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Oklahoma (6‑2) vs Tennessee (6‑2) |
0 | Oklahoma Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 14% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tennessee Wins | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia (6‑1) vs Florida (3‑4) |
0 | Georgia Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Florida Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Kentucky (2‑5) vs Auburn (4‑4) |
0 | Kentucky Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Auburn Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||