The Most Important Games for the Alabama St. Hornets are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Hornets final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Alabama St. Hornets fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Alabama St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Alabama St. (6‑14) vs Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn (9‑11) |
24 | Alabama St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 20% | 16% | ||
| Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 19% | 22% | 19% | ||
| Southern (7‑12) vs Alcorn St. (3‑16) |
4 | Southern Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 21% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 20% | 16% | ||
| Alcorn St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 19% | 19% | ||
| Jackson St. (6‑14) vs Grambling (8‑10) |
2 | Jackson St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 19% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 20% | 16% | ||
| Grambling Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 17% | ||
| Texas Southern (6‑13) vs Prairie View A&M (8‑13) |
1 | Texas Southern Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 19% | 20% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 20% | 16% | ||
| Prairie View A&M Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 20% | 18% | ||
| Miss. Valley St. (1‑19) vs AR Pine Bluff (7‑13) |
1 | Miss. Valley St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 20% | 16% | ||
| AR Pine Bluff Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 20% | 16% | ||
| Florida A&M (7‑10) vs Alabama A&M (11‑9) |
1 | Florida A&M Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 20% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 20% | 16% | ||
| Alabama A&M Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 20% | 16% | ||