The Most Important Games for the Alabama St. Hornets are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Hornets final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Alabama St. Hornets fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Alabama St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5*** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Alabama St. (0‑1) vs Miss. Valley St. (0‑1) |
53 | Alabama St. Wins | 11% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Miss. Valley St. Wins | 6% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Prairie View A&M (2‑0) vs Grambling (1‑0) |
4 | Prairie View A&M Wins | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Grambling Wins | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Alabama A&M (2‑0) vs AR Pine Bluff (0‑2) |
3 | Alabama A&M Wins | 10% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | ||
| AR Pine Bluff Wins | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Jackson St. (1‑1) vs Alcorn St. (0‑2) |
3 | Jackson St. Wins | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Alcorn St. Wins | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 5% | ||
| Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn (0‑2) vs Florida A&M (0‑2) |
1 | Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn Wins | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Florida A&M Wins | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Texas Southern (0‑2) vs Southern (0‑2) |
0 | Texas Southern Wins | 10% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Southern Wins | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | ||