The Most Important Games for the Alabama St. Hornets are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Hornets final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Alabama St. Hornets fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Alabama St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Alabama St. (3‑7) vs Miss. Valley St. (1‑9) |
18 | Alabama St. Wins | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 13% | ||
| Miss. Valley St. Wins | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 16% | ||
| Alabama A&M (5‑4) vs AR Pine Bluff (1‑9) |
2 | Alabama A&M Wins | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 13% | ||
| AR Pine Bluff Wins | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 13% | ||
| Grambling (3‑6) vs Prairie View A&M (3‑6) |
1 | Grambling Wins | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 13% | ||
| Prairie View A&M Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 13% | ||
| Alcorn St. (1‑9) vs Jackson St. (1‑9) |
1 | Alcorn St. Wins | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 13% | ||
| Jackson St. Wins | 8% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 13% | ||
| Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn (3‑7) vs Florida A&M (0‑5) |
1 | Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn Wins | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 13% | ||
| Florida A&M Wins | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 13% | ||
| Texas Southern (1‑7) vs Southern (4‑6) |
1 | Texas Southern Wins | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 13% | ||
| Southern Wins | 8% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 13% | ||