The Appalachian St. Mountaineers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Appalachian St. plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
Win Next Game | 2 | 2 | 3% | 12% | 23% | 24% | 22% | 15% | 2% |
Current Standings | 1 | 2 | 2% | 7% | 13% | 19% | 25% | 26% | 7% |
Lose Next Game | 1 | 3 | <1% | 3% | 8% | 17% | 29% | 34% | 9% |
Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |
Best Case Scenario | 3% | 12% | 23% | 24% | 22% | 15% | 2% |
Current Standings | 2% | 7% | 13% | 19% | 25% | 26% | 7% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 3% | 8% | 17% | 29% | 34% | 9% |
Best Case Scenario Appalachian St. beats Old Dominion |
Worst Case Scenario Old Dominion beats Appalachian St. |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winner | No Playoffs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||
5 of 5 | 100% | 6 | 2 | 33% | 56% | 11% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
4 of 5 | 80% | 5 | 3 | 2% | 29% | 51% | 17% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
3 of 5 | 60% | 4 | 4 | <1% | 1% | 18% | 45% | 31% | 4% | <1% |
2 of 5 | 40% | 3 | 5 | X | X | <1% | 11% | 47% | 39% | 3% |
1 of 5 | 20% | 2 | 6 | X | X | X | <1% | 11% | 71% | 18% |
0 of 5 | 0% | 1 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | 51% | 49% |