The Most Important Games for the California Baptist Lancers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lancers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. California Baptist Lancers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
California Baptist Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| California Baptist (8‑8) vs Tarleton St. (7‑11) |
42 | California Baptist Wins | 14% | 20% | 22% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Tarleton St. Wins | 8% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% | ||
| UT Arlington (7‑10) vs Utah Valley (11‑6) |
4 | UT Arlington Wins | 14% | 17% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Utah Valley Wins | 12% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Abilene Christian (8‑9) vs Grand Canyon (11‑5) |
4 | Abilene Christian Wins | 14% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Grand Canyon Wins | 12% | 17% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Seattle (6‑10) vs Utah Tech (6‑11) |
1 | Seattle Wins | 13% | 17% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Utah Tech Wins | 12% | 17% | 20% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||