The Most Important Games for the California Baptist Lancers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lancers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. California Baptist Lancers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
California Baptist Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7* First Round Bye |
8 | 9 | |||
| California Baptist (8‑3) vs Utah Valley (8‑3) |
27 | California Baptist Wins | 46% | 23% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | 39% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 31% | 26% | 18% | 13% | ||
| Utah Valley Wins | 8% | 4% | 1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Southern Utah (4‑8) vs Utah Tech (6‑6) |
1 | Southern Utah Wins | 40% | 24% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 39% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 39% | 24% | 16% | 11% | ||
| Utah Tech Wins | 7% | 3% | 1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| UT Arlington (7‑3) vs Tarleton St. (7‑4) |
1 | UT Arlington Wins | 39% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 39% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 16% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 39% | 23% | 16% | 11% | ||
| Tarleton St. Wins | 7% | 3% | 1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||