The Most Important Games for the Southern Utah Thunderbirds are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Thunderbirds final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Southern Utah Thunderbirds fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Southern Utah Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Southern Utah (4‑1) vs Grand Canyon (2‑2) |
30 | Southern Utah Wins | 25% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Grand Canyon Wins | 16% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% | ||
| Abilene Christian (3‑2) vs Utah Valley (2‑1) |
2 | Abilene Christian Wins | 22% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Utah Valley Wins | 21% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 4% | ||
| Seattle (1‑3) vs California Baptist (3‑2) |
2 | Seattle Wins | 22% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | ||
| California Baptist Wins | 21% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | ||
| Tarleton St. (1‑4) vs UT Arlington (2‑3) |
1 | Tarleton St. Wins | 21% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | ||
| UT Arlington Wins | 21% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | ||