The Most Important Games for the Tarleton St. Texans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Texans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Tarleton St. Texans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Tarleton St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Tarleton St. (1‑4) vs UT Arlington (2‑3) |
26 | Tarleton St. Wins | 4% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 18% | ||
| UT Arlington Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 22% | ||
| Seattle (1‑3) vs California Baptist (3‑2) |
3 | Seattle Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 18% | ||
| California Baptist Wins | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 19% | ||
| Grand Canyon (2‑2) vs Southern Utah (4‑1) |
1 | Grand Canyon Wins | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 18% | ||
| Southern Utah Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 19% | ||
| Utah Valley (2‑1) vs Abilene Christian (3‑2) |
1 | Utah Valley Wins | 4% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 18% | ||
| Abilene Christian Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 19% | ||