The Most Important Games for the Tarleton St. Texans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Texans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Tarleton St. Texans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Tarleton St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Tarleton St. (7‑11) vs California Baptist (8‑8) |
33 | Tarleton St. Wins | 4% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 8% | ||
| California Baptist Wins | 2% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 10% | ||
| Abilene Christian (8‑9) vs Grand Canyon (11‑5) |
1 | Abilene Christian Wins | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 8% | ||
| Grand Canyon Wins | 3% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 8% | ||
| Utah Tech (6‑11) vs Seattle (6‑10) |
0 | Utah Tech Wins | 3% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 8% | ||
| Seattle Wins | 3% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 9% | ||
| Utah Valley (11‑6) vs UT Arlington (7‑10) |
0 | Utah Valley Wins | 3% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 8% | ||
| UT Arlington Wins | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 10% | ||