The Most Important Games for the Pepperdine Waves are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Waves final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Pepperdine Waves fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Pepperdine Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
2* First, Second, Third and Fourth Round Byes |
3** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4** First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5*** First and Second Round Byes |
6*** First and Second Round Byes |
7# First Round Bye |
8# First Round Bye |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Pepperdine (6‑16) vs San Diego (9‑13) |
5 | Pepperdine Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 20% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 16% | 70% | ||
| San Diego Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 12% | 81% | ||
| Pacific (14‑8) vs Portland (10‑12) |
1 | Pacific Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 16% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 16% | 70% | ||
| Portland Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 15% | 73% | ||
| Seattle (14‑8) vs Washington St. (9‑13) |
0 | Seattle Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 16% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 16% | 70% | ||
| Washington St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 15% | 71% | ||
| Loyola Marymount (11‑11) vs Oregon St. (10‑12) |
0 | Loyola Marymount Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 14% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 16% | 70% | ||
| Oregon St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 16% | 70% | ||
| St. Mary's (19‑2) vs Gonzaga (21‑0) |
0 | St. Mary's Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 16% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 16% | 70% | ||
| Gonzaga Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 15% | 71% | ||
| San Francisco (13‑8) vs Santa Clara (16‑6) |
0 | San Francisco Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 16% | 69% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 16% | 70% | ||
| Santa Clara Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 16% | 70% | ||