The New Zealand What If table presents qualifing probabilities depended upon how New Zealand plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Qualifing Group Finish | Elimination | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Gi Goals |
GDi Goal Differential |
Pts | 1* Knockout Round Participant |
2* Knockout Round Participant |
3** Possible Knockout Round Participant |
4 | |
| Win Next Game | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15% | 46% | 35% | 4% |
| Current Standings | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3% | 10% | 21% | 67% |
| Lose Next Game | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | <1% | 2% | 12% | 86% |
| Qualifing Group Finish | Elimination | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Knockout Round Participant |
2* Knockout Round Participant |
3** Possible Knockout Round Participant |
4 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 13% | 64% | 23% | ^ |
| Current Standings | 3% | 10% | 21% | 67% |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | <1% | 12% | 87% |
|
Best Case Scenario Belgium beats Iran New Zealand beats Egypt |
Worst Case Scenario Iran beats Belgium Egypt beats New Zealand |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Qualifing Group Finish | Elimination | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | G | GD | Pts | 1* Knockout Round Participant |
2* Knockout Round Participant |
3** Possible Knockout Round Participant |
4 | ||
| 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 92% | 8% | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1% | 48% | 44% | 7% |
| 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 | X | X | 4% | 96% |