The Most Important Games for the Capitals are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Capitals final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Capitals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Capitals Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Capitals (18‑10‑4) vs Wild (19‑9‑5) |
7 | Capitals Wins | 16% | 20% | 18% | - | - | - | 11% | 8% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 19% | 17% | - | - | - | 11% | 9% | 30% | ||
| Wild Wins | 12% | 18% | 17% | - | - | - | 11% | 9% | 33% | ||
| Islanders (19‑11‑3) vs Red Wings (18‑12‑3) |
1 | Islanders Wins | 14% | 19% | 17% | - | - | - | 11% | 9% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 19% | 17% | - | - | - | 11% | 9% | 30% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | 15% | 19% | 17% | - | - | - | 10% | 9% | 31% | ||
| Ducks (19‑12‑1) vs Rangers (16‑13‑4) |
1 | Ducks Wins | 14% | 18% | 18% | - | - | - | 11% | 8% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 19% | 17% | - | - | - | 11% | 9% | 30% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 14% | 18% | 17% | - | - | - | 11% | 9% | 31% | ||
| Oilers (15‑12‑6) vs Penguins (14‑8‑9) |
0 | Oilers Wins | 15% | 18% | 17% | - | - | - | 11% | 9% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 19% | 17% | - | - | - | 11% | 9% | 30% | ||
| Penguins Wins | 14% | 18% | 18% | - | - | - | 11% | 9% | 31% | ||
| Panthers (16‑13‑2) vs Lightning (18‑11‑3) |
0 | Panthers Wins | 14% | 19% | 17% | - | - | - | 11% | 9% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 19% | 17% | - | - | - | 11% | 9% | 30% | ||
| Lightning Wins | 14% | 19% | 17% | - | - | - | 11% | 9% | 30% | ||
| Hockey Club (16‑15‑3) vs Bruins (19‑14‑0) |
0 | Hockey Club Wins | 14% | 19% | 17% | - | - | - | 10% | 9% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 19% | 17% | - | - | - | 11% | 9% | 30% | ||
| Bruins Wins | 14% | 18% | 17% | - | - | - | 11% | 9% | 31% | ||
| Canadiens (17‑11‑4) vs Flyers (16‑9‑6) |
0 | Canadiens Wins | 14% | 19% | 17% | - | - | - | 10% | 9% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 19% | 17% | - | - | - | 11% | 9% | 30% | ||
| Flyers Wins | 14% | 18% | 17% | - | - | - | 11% | 9% | 31% | ||
| Senators (14‑13‑4) vs Jets (15‑15‑1) |
0 | Senators Wins | 15% | 19% | 17% | - | - | - | 11% | 9% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 19% | 17% | - | - | - | 11% | 9% | 30% | ||
| Jets Wins | 14% | 19% | 17% | - | - | - | 11% | 9% | 30% | ||
| Maple Leafs (14‑12‑5) vs Blackhawks (13‑13‑6) |
0 | Maple Leafs Wins | 14% | 19% | 17% | - | - | - | 11% | 9% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 19% | 17% | - | - | - | 11% | 9% | 30% | ||
| Blackhawks Wins | 14% | 19% | 17% | - | - | - | 11% | 8% | 30% | ||