The Most Important Games for the Lightning are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lightning final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Lightning fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Lightning Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metropolitan Divisional Winners | Atlantic Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |||
| Lightning (18‑11‑3) vs Panthers (16‑13‑2) |
7 | Lightning Wins | - | - | - | 32% | 20% | 15% | 4% | 4% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 30% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 4% | 27% | ||
| Panthers Wins | - | - | - | 27% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 4% | 30% | ||
| Oilers (15‑12‑6) vs Penguins (14‑8‑9) |
1 | Oilers Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 20% | 15% | 4% | 4% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 30% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 4% | 27% | ||
| Penguins Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 4% | 27% | ||
| Flyers (16‑9‑6) vs Canadiens (17‑11‑4) |
1 | Flyers Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 20% | 15% | 4% | 4% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 30% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 4% | 27% | ||
| Canadiens Wins | - | - | - | 29% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 28% | ||
| Jets (15‑15‑1) vs Senators (14‑13‑4) |
1 | Jets Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 20% | 15% | 4% | 4% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 30% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 4% | 27% | ||
| Senators Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 4% | 27% | ||
| Hockey Club (16‑15‑3) vs Bruins (19‑14‑0) |
1 | Hockey Club Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 4% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 30% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 4% | 27% | ||
| Bruins Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 4% | 27% | ||
| Islanders (19‑11‑3) vs Red Wings (18‑12‑3) |
0 | Islanders Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 20% | 15% | 4% | 4% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 30% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 4% | 27% | ||
| Red Wings Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 4% | 27% | ||
| Rangers (16‑13‑4) vs Ducks (19‑12‑1) |
0 | Rangers Wins | - | - | - | 31% | 20% | 15% | 4% | 4% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 30% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 4% | 27% | ||
| Ducks Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 27% | ||
| Maple Leafs (14‑12‑5) vs Blackhawks (13‑13‑6) |
0 | Maple Leafs Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 20% | 15% | 4% | 4% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 30% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 4% | 27% | ||
| Blackhawks Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 20% | 15% | 4% | 4% | 27% | ||
| Wild (19‑9‑5) vs Capitals (18‑10‑4) |
0 | Wild Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 20% | 15% | 4% | 4% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | - | - | - | 30% | 19% | 15% | 4% | 4% | 27% | ||
| Capitals Wins | - | - | - | 30% | 20% | 15% | 4% | 4% | 27% | ||