The Most Important Games for the UMBC Retrievers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Retrievers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UMBC Retrievers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UMBC Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell (13‑15) vs Vermont (18‑11) |
2 | UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell Wins | 86% | 14% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 83% | 9% | 8% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Vermont Wins | 82% | 6% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UMBC (18‑8) vs Bryant (8‑19) |
1 | UMBC Wins | 84% | 9% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 83% | 9% | 8% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bryant Wins | 79% | 8% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Binghamton (6‑23) vs New Hampshire (8‑18) |
0 | Binghamton Wins | 83% | 9% | 8% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 83% | 9% | 8% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| New Hampshire Wins | 83% | 9% | 8% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Albany (10‑18) vs Maine (7‑21) |
0 | Albany Wins | 83% | 9% | 8% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 83% | 9% | 8% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Maine Wins | 83% | 9% | 8% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||