The Most Important Games for the UMBC Retrievers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Retrievers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UMBC Retrievers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UMBC Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UMBC (13‑8) vs Binghamton (5‑18) |
6 | UMBC Wins | 32% | 32% | 25% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 32% | 25% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Binghamton Wins | 20% | 29% | 29% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Maine (5‑18) vs Vermont (14‑9) |
1 | Maine Wins | 37% | 29% | 22% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 32% | 25% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Vermont Wins | 29% | 33% | 26% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Albany (7‑16) vs Bryant (7‑15) |
1 | Albany Wins | 31% | 33% | 25% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 32% | 25% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bryant Wins | 30% | 32% | 25% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell (9‑14) vs NJIT (11‑12) |
1 | UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell Wins | 34% | 33% | 20% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 32% | 25% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| NJIT Wins | 29% | 32% | 28% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||