The Most Important Games for the UMBC Retrievers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Retrievers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UMBC Retrievers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UMBC Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UMBC (3‑3) vs Binghamton (2‑4) |
12 | UMBC Wins | 7% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Binghamton Wins | 4% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | ||
| Vermont (2‑3) vs New Hampshire (2‑6) |
1 | Vermont Wins | 5% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | ||
| New Hampshire Wins | 6% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Bryant (3‑2) vs Maine (2‑3) |
1 | Bryant Wins | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Maine Wins | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 11% | ||
| UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell (3‑2) vs Albany (3‑1) |
0 | UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell Wins | 6% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Albany Wins | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | ||