The Most Important Games for the UMBC Retrievers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Retrievers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UMBC Retrievers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UMBC Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UMBC (0‑2) vs NJIT (0‑2) |
17 | UMBC Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 20% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 17% | 30% | ||
| NJIT Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 17% | 35% | ||
| Maine (1‑1) vs Bryant (1‑1) |
1 | Maine Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 17% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 17% | 30% | ||
| Bryant Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 18% | 31% | ||
| Vermont (1‑1) vs Binghamton (1‑1) |
1 | Vermont Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 17% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 17% | 30% | ||
| Binghamton Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 17% | 32% | ||
| New Hampshire (2‑0) vs UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell (2‑0) |
1 | New Hampshire Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 17% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 17% | 30% | ||
| UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 31% | ||