The Most Important Games for the UMBC Retrievers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Retrievers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UMBC Retrievers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UMBC Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UMBC (11‑12) vs New Hampshire (4‑19) |
15 | UMBC Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 24% | 27% | 22% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 21% | 25% | 22% | 10% | 4% | ||
| New Hampshire Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 17% | 23% | 25% | 16% | 8% | ||
| Bryant (14‑9) vs Albany (11‑12) |
2 | Bryant Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 22% | 26% | 21% | 9% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 21% | 25% | 22% | 10% | 4% | ||
| Albany Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 19% | 23% | 28% | 10% | 4% | ||
| Maine (14‑9) vs NJIT (5‑18) |
1 | Maine Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 21% | 25% | 23% | 9% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 21% | 25% | 22% | 10% | 4% | ||
| NJIT Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 20% | 24% | 21% | 11% | 5% | ||
| UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell (15‑8) vs Binghamton (11‑12) |
1 | UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 23% | 24% | 22% | 9% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 21% | 25% | 22% | 10% | 4% | ||
| Binghamton Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 18% | 27% | 24% | 10% | 4% | ||