The Most Important Games for the UMBC Retrievers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Retrievers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UMBC Retrievers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UMBC Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Binghamton (3‑6) vs NJIT (3‑7) |
1 | Binghamton Wins | 38% | 19% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 19% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| NJIT Wins | 36% | 20% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell (3‑7) vs Albany (4‑6) |
1 | UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell Wins | 38% | 19% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 19% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Albany Wins | 37% | 19% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| New Hampshire (2‑7) vs Vermont (5‑5) |
0 | New Hampshire Wins | 39% | 19% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 19% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Vermont Wins | 37% | 20% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Maine (0‑11) vs Bryant (3‑7) |
0 | Maine Wins | 38% | 19% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 19% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Bryant Wins | 37% | 20% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||