Where are the UMBC Retrievers going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The UMBC standings table presents the probabilities of the Retrievers winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 16 game season |
1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT |
| Vermont | 6i Vermont Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 22 @ UMass-Lowell 77-68 Won Sat, Jan 24 @ Bryant 62-52 Won Thu, Jan 29 vs UMBC 64-55 Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs NJIT 77-79 Thu, Feb 05 @ Maine Sat, Feb 07 vs New Hampshire Thu, Feb 12 @ Bingham. Sat, Feb 14 vs Bryant |
2 | 8 | 41% | 30% | 21% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| UMBC | 6 UMBC Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 22 vs NJIT 87-74 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs UMass-Lowell 79-56 Lost Thu, Jan 29 @ Vermont 55-64 Won Sat, Jan 31 @ Albany 68-65 Thu, Feb 05 vs Bingham. Thu, Feb 12 @ Maine Sat, Feb 14 @ New Hampshire Thu, Feb 19 vs Vermont |
2 | 8 | 31% | 32% | 25% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| NJIT | 6 NJIT Recent Games Won Mon, Jan 19 vs Bryant 79-55 Lost Thu, Jan 22 @ UMBC 74-87 Won Thu, Jan 29 @ Albany 77-68 Won Sat, Jan 31 @ Vermont 79-77 Thu, Feb 05 vs UMass-Lowell Sat, Feb 07 vs Bingham. Thu, Feb 12 @ New Hampshire Sat, Feb 14 @ Maine |
2 | 8 | 27% | 29% | 29% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| New Hampshire | 4 New Hampshire Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 22 vs Bingham. 88-82 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs Albany 80-72 Won Thu, Jan 29 vs UMass-Lowell 66-61 Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ Bryant 84-92 Sat, Feb 07 @ Vermont Thu, Feb 12 vs NJIT Sat, Feb 14 vs UMBC Thu, Feb 19 @ UMass-Lowell |
4 | 8 | 1% | 4% | 11% | 29% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 5% | <1% |
| UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell | 4 UMass-Lowell Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 22 vs Vermont 68-77 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ UMBC 56-79 Lost Thu, Jan 29 @ New Hampshire 61-66 Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Maine 91-77 Thu, Feb 05 @ NJIT Sat, Feb 07 @ Albany Thu, Feb 12 vs Bryant Thu, Feb 19 vs New Hampshire |
4 | 8 | <1% | 3% | 9% | 25% | 28% | 18% | 11% | 5% | 1% |
| Bryant | 3 Bryant Recent Games Lost Mon, Jan 19 @ NJIT 55-79 Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs Vermont 52-62 Lost Thu, Jan 29 @ Bingham. 60-63 Won Sat, Jan 31 vs New Hampshire 92-84 Thu, Feb 05 vs Albany Sat, Feb 07 vs Maine Thu, Feb 12 @ UMass-Lowell Sat, Feb 14 @ Vermont |
5 | 8 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 18% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 4% |
| Maine | 3 Maine Recent Games Lost Mon, Jan 19 vs New Hampshire 48-65 Won Thu, Jan 22 vs Albany 52-49 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs Bingham. 79-63 Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ UMass-Lowell 77-91 Thu, Feb 05 vs Vermont Sat, Feb 07 @ Bryant Thu, Feb 12 vs UMBC Sat, Feb 14 vs NJIT |
5 | 8 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 16% | 27% | 39% | 6% |
| Albany | 3 Albany Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 22 @ Maine 49-52 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ New Hampshire 72-80 Lost Thu, Jan 29 vs NJIT 68-77 Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs UMBC 65-68 Thu, Feb 05 @ Bryant Sat, Feb 07 vs UMass-Lowell Sat, Feb 14 @ Bingham. Thu, Feb 19 @ NJIT |
5 | 8 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 14% | 22% | 26% | 26% | 3% |
| Binghamton | 1 Binghamton Recent Games Lost Mon, Jan 19 vs UMBC 60-78 Lost Thu, Jan 22 @ New Hampshire 82-88 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ Maine 63-79 Won Thu, Jan 29 vs Bryant 63-60 Thu, Feb 05 @ UMBC Sat, Feb 07 @ NJIT Thu, Feb 12 vs Vermont Sat, Feb 14 vs Albany |
7 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 86% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (7)Maine | 3 | 5 | 25% |
| (8)Albany | 3 | 5 | 24% |
| (6)Bryant | 3 | 5 | 20% |
| (5)UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell | 4 | 4 | 13% |
| (4)New Hampshire | 4 | 4 | 12% |
| (9)Binghamton | 1 | 7 | 4% |
| (3)NJIT | 6 | 2 | 1% |
| (1)Vermont | 6 | 2 | 1% |
| Elimination | <1% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Maine (5‑18) |
69‑62 | Home | Thu Jan 8, 6:00 pm |
| 10 | New Hampshire (8‑13) |
75‑74 | Home | Sat Jan 10, 1:00 pm |
| 11 | Bryant (7‑15) |
74‑79 (OT) | Away | Thu Jan 15, 6:00 pm |
| 12 | Binghamton (5‑18) |
78‑60 | Away | Mon Jan 19, 6:00 pm |
| 12 | NJIT (11‑12) |
87‑74 | Home | Thu Jan 22, 6:00 pm |
| 12 | UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell (9‑14) |
79‑56 | Home | Sat Jan 24, 1:00 pm |
| 13 | Vermont (14‑9) |
55‑64 | Away | Thu Jan 29, 7:00 pm |
| 13 | Albany (7‑16) |
68‑65 | Away | Sat Jan 31, 7:00 pm |
| 14 | Binghamton (5‑18) |
Home | Thu Feb 5, 6:00 pm | |
| 15 | Maine (5‑18) |
Away | Thu Feb 12, 6:00 pm | |
| 15 | New Hampshire (8‑13) |
Away | Sat Feb 14, 1:00 pm | |
| 16 | Vermont (14‑9) |
Home | Thu Feb 19, 6:00 pm | |
| 16 | Albany (7‑16) |
Home | Sat Feb 21, 1:00 pm | |
| 17 | Bryant (7‑15) |
Home | Thu Feb 26, 6:00 pm | |
| 17 | UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell (9‑14) |
Away | Sat Feb 28, 2:00 pm | |
| 18 | NJIT (11‑12) |
Away | Tue Mar 3, 6:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penn State-York | ‑‑ | 74‑53 | Home | Tue Nov 4 |
| 1 | Dayton (14‑8) |
Atlantic 10Atl. 10 | 71‑77 | Away | Sat Nov 8 |
| 2 | Morgan St. (9‑13) |
MideasternMid-Eastern | 81‑79 | Away | Tue Nov 11 |
| 2 | Wagner (7‑13) |
NortheastNorth East | 71‑70 (OT) | Home | Sun Nov 16, 12:00 pm |
| 3 | Geo. Washington (13‑9) |
Atlantic 10Atl. 10 | 52‑89 | Away | Wed Nov 19, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | Notre Dame (MD) | ‑‑ | 102‑52 | Home | Mon Nov 24, 6:00 pm |
| 4 | Delaware St. (6‑15) |
MideasternMid-Eastern | 71‑57 | Home | Sat Nov 29, 2:00 pm |
| 5 | Georgetown (12‑10) |
Big EastBig East | 81‑90 | Away | Wed Dec 3, 8:00 pm |
| 5 | Bucknell (7‑15) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 73‑66 | Away | Sat Dec 6, 12:00 pm |
| 6 | Buffalo (14‑8) |
MACMAC | 79‑83 | Home | Tue Dec 9, 5:00 pm |
| 6 | Army (10‑13) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 60‑63 | Home | Fri Dec 12, 6:00 pm |
| 7 | South Florida (14‑8) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 69‑94 | Away | Sun Dec 21, 3:00 pm |
| 9 | Coppin St. (3‑21) |
MideasternMid-Eastern | 93‑59 | Away | Mon Dec 29, 6:00 pm |