Where are the UMBC Retrievers going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The UMBC standings table presents the probabilities of the Retrievers winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 16 game season |
1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT |
| Bryant | 11i Bryant Recent Games Lost Thu, Feb 06 vs Albany 63-68 Won Sat, Feb 08 @ Bingham. 78-71 Won Thu, Feb 13 vs NJIT 88-66 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs UMBC 81-79 Thu, Feb 20 @ Vermont Thu, Feb 27 @ UMass-Lowell Sat, Mar 01 @ Maine Tue, Mar 04 vs New Hampshire |
1 | 12 | 83% | 14% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Vermont | 8 Vermont Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 01 vs Maine 55-49 Won Sat, Feb 08 @ Albany 68-62 Won Thu, Feb 13 vs New Hampshire 79-59 Won Sat, Feb 15 @ Maine 65-61 Thu, Feb 20 vs Bryant Sat, Feb 22 vs UMass-Lowell Thu, Feb 27 @ NJIT Sat, Mar 01 @ UMBC |
3 | 11 | 14% | 54% | 28% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Maine | 8 Maine Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 01 @ Vermont 49-55 Won Thu, Feb 06 vs NJIT 78-74 Won Sat, Feb 08 vs UMBC 73-50 Lost Sat, Feb 15 vs Vermont 61-65 Thu, Feb 20 @ Albany Sat, Feb 22 @ Bingham. Thu, Feb 27 @ New Hampshire Sat, Mar 01 vs Bryant |
3 | 11 | 2% | 31% | 58% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Albany | 5 Albany Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 01 vs Bingham. 61-65 Won Thu, Feb 06 @ Bryant 68-63 Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs Vermont 62-68 Won Thu, Feb 13 @ UMass-Lowell 90-88 Thu, Feb 20 vs Maine Sat, Feb 22 vs New Hampshire Thu, Feb 27 @ UMBC Sat, Mar 01 @ NJIT |
6 | 11 | X | 1% | 8% | 45% | 22% | 13% | 7% | 4% | <1% |
| New Hampshire | 5 New Hampshire Recent Games Won Thu, Feb 06 vs UMBC 79-78 Won Sat, Feb 08 vs NJIT 80-69 Lost Thu, Feb 13 @ Vermont 59-79 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs UMass-Lowell 80-79 Thu, Feb 20 @ Bingham. Sat, Feb 22 @ Albany Thu, Feb 27 vs Maine Tue, Mar 04 @ Bryant |
7 | 12 | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 10% | 21% | 36% | 28% | 1% |
| Binghamton | 5 Binghamton Recent Games Won Thu, Feb 06 vs UMass-Lowell 66-54 Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs Bryant 71-78 Lost Thu, Feb 13 @ UMBC 77-81 Won Sat, Feb 15 @ NJIT 75-71 Thu, Feb 20 vs New Hampshire Sat, Feb 22 vs Maine Sat, Mar 01 @ UMass-Lowell Tue, Mar 04 vs NJIT |
7 | 12 | X | <1% | 1% | 21% | 34% | 24% | 13% | 6% | <1% |
| UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell | 4 UMass-Lowell Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 01 @ UMBC 83-67 Lost Thu, Feb 06 @ Bingham. 54-66 Lost Thu, Feb 13 vs Albany 88-90 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ New Hampshire 79-80 Thu, Feb 20 vs UMBC Sat, Feb 22 @ Vermont Thu, Feb 27 vs Bryant Sat, Mar 01 vs Bingham. |
7 | 11 | X | <1% | 1% | 14% | 22% | 27% | 20% | 14% | 1% |
| UMBC | 4 UMBC Recent Games Lost Thu, Feb 06 @ New Hampshire 78-79 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Maine 50-73 Won Thu, Feb 13 vs Bingham. 81-77 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ Bryant 79-81 Thu, Feb 20 @ UMass-Lowell Sat, Feb 22 vs NJIT Thu, Feb 27 vs Albany Sat, Mar 01 vs Vermont |
8 | 12 | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 23% | 45% | 2% |
| NJIT | 2 NJIT Recent Games Lost Thu, Feb 06 @ Maine 74-78 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ New Hampshire 69-80 Lost Thu, Feb 13 @ Bryant 66-88 Lost Sat, Feb 15 vs Bingham. 71-75 Sat, Feb 22 @ UMBC Thu, Feb 27 vs Vermont Sat, Mar 01 vs Albany Tue, Mar 04 @ Bingham. |
10 | 12 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (1)Bryant | 11 | 1 | 39% |
| (2)Vermont | 8 | 3 | 26% |
| (3)Maine | 8 | 3 | 17% |
| (6)Binghamton | 5 | 7 | 7% |
| (4)Albany | 5 | 6 | 6% |
| (7)UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell | 4 | 7 | 2% |
| (5)New Hampshire | 5 | 7 | 1% |
| (9)NJIT | 2 | 10 | <1% |
| Elimination | 2% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Binghamton (13‑14) |
82‑87 | Away | Sat Jan 4, 2:00 pm |
| 10 | NJIT (5‑22) |
87‑64 | Away | Thu Jan 9, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | New Hampshire (7‑20) |
76‑79 | Home | Thu Jan 16, 6:00 pm |
| 11 | Maine (16‑10) |
62‑87 | Home | Sat Jan 18, 1:00 pm |
| 12 | Albany (13‑13) |
92‑87 (OT) | Away | Thu Jan 23, 6:30 pm |
| 12 | Vermont (15‑11) |
80‑63 | Away | Sat Jan 25, 1:00 pm |
| 13 | Bryant (17‑10) |
86‑92 | Home | Thu Jan 30, 7:00 pm |
| 13 | UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell (15‑11) |
67‑83 | Home | Sat Feb 1, 1:00 pm |
| 14 | New Hampshire (7‑20) |
78‑79 | Away | Thu Feb 6, 7:00 pm |
| 14 | Maine (16‑10) |
50‑73 | Away | Sat Feb 8, 2:00 pm |
| 15 | Binghamton (13‑14) |
81‑77 | Home | Thu Feb 13, 6:00 pm |
| 15 | Bryant (17‑10) |
79‑81 | Away | Sat Feb 15, 1:00 pm |
| 16 | UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell (15‑11) |
Away | Thu Feb 20, 6:00 pm | |
| 16 | NJIT (5‑22) |
Home | Sat Feb 22, TBD | |
| 17 | Albany (13‑13) |
Home | Thu Feb 27, 6:00 pm | |
| 17 | Vermont (15‑11) |
Home | Sat Mar 1, 1:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penn St.-York | ‑‑ | 95‑66 | Home | Mon Nov 4, 4:00 pm |
| 1 | Penn State (13‑13) |
Big 10Big 10 | 54‑103 | Away | Fri Nov 8, 6:00 pm |
| 2 | Valley Forge | ‑‑ | 120‑61 | Home | Mon Nov 11, 6:00 pm |
| 2 | Coppin St. (4‑19) |
MideasternMid-Eastern | 92‑67 | Home | Thu Nov 14, 7:00 pm |
| 2 | St. Peter's (9‑13) |
Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic | 61‑69 | Home | Sat Nov 16, 2:00 pm |
| 3 | Hampton (14‑13) |
CoastalCoastal | 68‑78 | Home | Tue Nov 19, 7:00 pm |
| 3 | Boston U. (13‑14) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 71‑75 | Home | Sat Nov 23, 12:00 pm |
| 4 | Howard (10‑15) |
MideasternMid-Eastern | 95‑77 | Home | Mon Nov 25, 12:00 pm |
| 4 | Morgan St. (10‑14) |
MideasternMid-Eastern | 92‑69 | Home | Wed Nov 27, 12:00 pm |
| 5 | Georgetown (15‑10) |
Big EastBig East | 62‑86 | Away | Mon Dec 2, 6:30 pm |
| 5 | Towson (18‑9) |
CoastalCoastal | 84‑71 | Away | Sat Dec 7, 1:00 pm |
| 6 | Cairn | ‑‑ | 103‑57 | Home | Tue Dec 10, 6:00 pm |
| 7 | Georgia Tech (13‑13) |
ACCACC | 82‑91 | Away | Wed Dec 18, 7:30 pm |
| 7 | Marist (18‑5) |
Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic | 73‑76 (OT) | Away | Sat Dec 21, 1:00 pm |
| 8 | American (17‑10) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 96‑93 (OT) | Away | Sun Dec 29, 4:00 pm |