Where are the UMBC Retrievers going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The UMBC standings table presents the probabilities of the Retrievers winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 16 game season |
1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT |
| Bryant | 9i Bryant Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 30 @ UMBC 92-86 Won Sat, Feb 01 @ NJIT 92-70 Lost Thu, Feb 06 vs Albany 63-68 Won Sat, Feb 08 @ Bingham. 78-71 Thu, Feb 13 vs NJIT Sat, Feb 15 vs UMBC Thu, Feb 20 @ Vermont Thu, Feb 27 @ UMass-Lowell |
1 | 10 | 74% | 21% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Maine | 8 Maine Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 30 vs New Hampshire 71-46 Lost Sat, Feb 01 @ Vermont 49-55 Won Thu, Feb 06 vs NJIT 78-74 Won Sat, Feb 08 vs UMBC 73-50 Sat, Feb 15 vs Vermont Thu, Feb 20 @ Albany Sat, Feb 22 @ Bingham. Thu, Feb 27 @ New Hampshire |
2 | 10 | 18% | 47% | 27% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Vermont | 6 Vermont Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 25 vs UMBC 63-80 Lost Thu, Jan 30 @ Bingham. 72-75 Won Sat, Feb 01 vs Maine 55-49 Won Sat, Feb 08 @ Albany 68-62 Thu, Feb 13 vs New Hampshire Sat, Feb 15 @ Maine Thu, Feb 20 vs Bryant Sat, Feb 22 vs UMass-Lowell |
3 | 9 | 8% | 28% | 44% | 14% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell | 4 UMass-Lowell Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 25 vs New Hampshire 97-80 Lost Thu, Jan 30 @ NJIT 62-83 Won Sat, Feb 01 @ UMBC 83-67 Lost Thu, Feb 06 @ Bingham. 54-66 Thu, Feb 13 vs Albany Sat, Feb 15 @ New Hampshire Thu, Feb 20 vs UMBC Sat, Feb 22 @ Vermont |
5 | 9 | <1% | 3% | 14% | 35% | 24% | 15% | 6% | 2% | <1% |
| Albany | 4 Albany Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 25 vs NJIT 68-62 Lost Sat, Feb 01 vs Bingham. 61-65 Won Thu, Feb 06 @ Bryant 68-63 Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs Vermont 62-68 Thu, Feb 13 @ UMass-Lowell Thu, Feb 20 vs Maine Sat, Feb 22 vs New Hampshire Thu, Feb 27 @ UMBC |
6 | 10 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 26% | 28% | 18% | 7% | 1% |
| New Hampshire | 4 New Hampshire Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 25 @ UMass-Lowell 80-97 Lost Thu, Jan 30 @ Maine 46-71 Won Thu, Feb 06 vs UMBC 79-78 Won Sat, Feb 08 vs NJIT 80-69 Thu, Feb 13 @ Vermont Sat, Feb 15 vs UMass-Lowell Thu, Feb 20 @ Bingham. Sat, Feb 22 @ Albany |
6 | 10 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 34% | 37% | 10% |
| Binghamton | 4 Binghamton Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 30 vs Vermont 75-72 Won Sat, Feb 01 @ Albany 65-61 Won Thu, Feb 06 vs UMass-Lowell 66-54 Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs Bryant 71-78 Thu, Feb 13 @ UMBC Sat, Feb 15 @ NJIT Thu, Feb 20 vs New Hampshire Sat, Feb 22 vs Maine |
6 | 10 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 24% | 29% | 25% | 11% | 5% | 2% |
| UMBC | 3 UMBC Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 30 vs Bryant 86-92 Lost Sat, Feb 01 vs UMass-Lowell 67-83 Lost Thu, Feb 06 @ New Hampshire 78-79 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Maine 50-73 Thu, Feb 13 vs Bingham. Sat, Feb 15 @ Bryant Thu, Feb 20 @ UMass-Lowell Sat, Feb 22 vs NJIT |
7 | 10 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 17% | 26% | 34% | 9% |
| NJIT | 2 NJIT Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 30 vs UMass-Lowell 83-62 Lost Sat, Feb 01 vs Bryant 70-92 Lost Thu, Feb 06 @ Maine 74-78 Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ New Hampshire 69-80 Thu, Feb 13 @ Bryant Sat, Feb 15 vs Bingham. Sat, Feb 22 @ UMBC Thu, Feb 27 vs Vermont |
8 | 10 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 15% | 78% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (1)Bryant | 9 | 1 | 32% |
| (2)Maine | 8 | 2 | 22% |
| (3)Vermont | 6 | 3 | 20% |
| (4)UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell | 4 | 5 | 10% |
| (7)Binghamton | 4 | 6 | 4% |
| (5)Albany | 4 | 6 | 2% |
| (6)New Hampshire | 4 | 6 | <1% |
| (9)NJIT | 2 | 8 | <1% |
| Elimination | 9% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Binghamton (12‑13) |
82‑87 | Away | Sat Jan 4, 2:00 pm |
| 10 | NJIT (5‑20) |
87‑64 | Away | Thu Jan 9, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | New Hampshire (6‑19) |
76‑79 | Home | Thu Jan 16, 6:00 pm |
| 11 | Maine (16‑9) |
62‑87 | Home | Sat Jan 18, 1:00 pm |
| 12 | Albany (12‑13) |
92‑87 (OT) | Away | Thu Jan 23, 6:30 pm |
| 12 | Vermont (13‑11) |
80‑63 | Away | Sat Jan 25, 1:00 pm |
| 13 | Bryant (15‑10) |
86‑92 | Home | Thu Jan 30, 7:00 pm |
| 13 | UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell (15‑9) |
67‑83 | Home | Sat Feb 1, 1:00 pm |
| 14 | New Hampshire (6‑19) |
78‑79 | Away | Thu Feb 6, 7:00 pm |
| 14 | Maine (16‑9) |
50‑73 | Away | Sat Feb 8, 2:00 pm |
| 15 | Binghamton (12‑13) |
Home | Thu Feb 13, 6:00 pm | |
| 15 | Bryant (15‑10) |
Away | Sat Feb 15, 1:00 pm | |
| 16 | UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell (15‑9) |
Away | Thu Feb 20, 6:00 pm | |
| 16 | NJIT (5‑20) |
Home | Sat Feb 22, TBD | |
| 17 | Albany (12‑13) |
Home | Thu Feb 27, 6:00 pm | |
| 17 | Vermont (13‑11) |
Home | Sat Mar 1, 1:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penn St.-York | ‑‑ | 95‑66 | Home | Mon Nov 4, 4:00 pm |
| 1 | Penn State (13‑12) |
Big 10Big 10 | 54‑103 | Away | Fri Nov 8, 6:00 pm |
| 2 | Valley Forge | ‑‑ | 120‑61 | Home | Mon Nov 11, 6:00 pm |
| 2 | Coppin St. (4‑18) |
MideasternMid-Eastern | 92‑67 | Home | Thu Nov 14, 7:00 pm |
| 2 | St. Peter's (7‑13) |
Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic | 61‑69 | Home | Sat Nov 16, 2:00 pm |
| 3 | Hampton (12‑13) |
CoastalCoastal | 68‑78 | Home | Tue Nov 19, 7:00 pm |
| 3 | Boston U. (12‑14) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 71‑75 | Home | Sat Nov 23, 12:00 pm |
| 4 | Howard (10‑14) |
MideasternMid-Eastern | 95‑77 | Home | Mon Nov 25, 12:00 pm |
| 4 | Morgan St. (10‑13) |
MideasternMid-Eastern | 92‑69 | Home | Wed Nov 27, 12:00 pm |
| 5 | Georgetown (15‑9) |
Big EastBig East | 62‑86 | Away | Mon Dec 2, 6:30 pm |
| 5 | Towson (16‑9) |
CoastalCoastal | 84‑71 | Away | Sat Dec 7, 1:00 pm |
| 6 | Cairn | ‑‑ | 103‑57 | Home | Tue Dec 10, 6:00 pm |
| 7 | Georgia Tech (12‑13) |
ACCACC | 82‑91 | Away | Wed Dec 18, 7:30 pm |
| 7 | Marist (16‑5) |
Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic | 73‑76 (OT) | Away | Sat Dec 21, 1:00 pm |
| 8 | American (16‑10) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 96‑93 (OT) | Away | Sun Dec 29, 4:00 pm |