The Most Important Games for the E. Carolina Pirates are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Pirates final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. E. Carolina Pirates fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
E. Carolina Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3** First and Second Round Byes |
4** First and Second Round Byes |
5*** First Round Bye |
6*** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| E. Carolina (7‑15) vs Temple (14‑8) |
14 | E. Carolina Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 13% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 85% | ||
| Temple Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 89% | ||
| Texas-San Antonio (4‑18) vs North Texas (12‑11) |
3 | Texas-San Antonio Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 11% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 85% | ||
| North Texas Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 86% | ||
| UAB (14‑9) vs Rice (10‑13) |
2 | UAB Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 85% | ||
| Rice Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 87% | ||
| Charlotte (12‑10) vs Memphis (11‑11) |
1 | Charlotte Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 85% | ||
| Memphis Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 85% | ||
| Tulsa (20‑3) vs South Florida (15‑8) |
0 | Tulsa Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 85% | ||
| South Florida Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 85% | ||
| Wichita St. (14‑9) vs Tulane (13‑8) |
0 | Wichita St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 85% | ||
| Tulane Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 85% | ||