The Most Important Games for the E. Carolina Pirates are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Pirates final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. E. Carolina Pirates fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
E. Carolina Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11** First Round Bye |
12 | 13 | |||
| E. Carolina (15‑12) vs Texas-San Antonio (10‑16) |
21 | E. Carolina Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 23% | 33% | 22% | 8% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 20% | 30% | 24% | 13% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Texas-San Antonio Wins | X | X | <1% | 3% | 15% | 25% | 28% | 23% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Wichita St. (16‑10) vs Tulane (15‑11) |
10 | Wichita St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 18% | 25% | 26% | 16% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 20% | 30% | 24% | 13% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Tulane Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 6% | 22% | 38% | 21% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Memphis (21‑5) vs Florida Atlantic (15‑11) |
8 | Memphis Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 10% | 21% | 29% | 24% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 20% | 30% | 24% | 13% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Florida Atlantic Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 38% | 25% | 13% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Temple (14‑13) vs UAB (18‑9) |
4 | Temple Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 17% | 24% | 26% | 18% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 20% | 30% | 24% | 13% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| UAB Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 9% | 21% | 34% | 23% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Rice (12‑15) vs Tulsa (11‑16) |
1 | Rice Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 19% | 30% | 24% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 20% | 30% | 24% | 13% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Tulsa Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 20% | 30% | 24% | 13% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Texas (18‑6) vs South Florida (13‑14) |
0 | North Texas Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 9% | 20% | 31% | 24% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 20% | 30% | 24% | 13% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| South Florida Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 20% | 28% | 22% | 14% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||