The Most Important Games for the E. Carolina Pirates are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Pirates final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. E. Carolina Pirates fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
E. Carolina Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11** First Round Bye |
12 | 13 | |||
| E. Carolina (5‑10) vs UAB (10‑6) |
28 | E. Carolina Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 50% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 58% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | ||
| UAB Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 63% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Memphis (7‑7) vs Florida Atlantic (10‑6) |
2 | Memphis Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 58% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 58% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Florida Atlantic Wins | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 58% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Rice (7‑9) vs Charlotte (8‑8) |
2 | Rice Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 58% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 58% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Charlotte Wins | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 58% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Tulsa (13‑2) vs South Florida (9‑6) |
2 | Tulsa Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 58% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 58% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| South Florida Wins | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 59% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| North Texas (10‑6) vs Wichita St. (9‑7) |
1 | North Texas Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 58% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 58% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Wichita St. Wins | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 59% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Texas-San Antonio (4‑11) vs Tulane (11‑4) |
1 | Texas-San Antonio Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 58% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 58% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Tulane Wins | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 57% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||