The Most Important Games for the Rice Owls are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Owls final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Rice Owls fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Rice Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11** First Round Bye |
12 | 13 | |||
| Rice (12‑15) vs Tulsa (11‑16) |
30 | Rice Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 18% | 16% | 42% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 12% | 42% | 34% | ||
| Tulsa Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 44% | 51% | ||
| E. Carolina (15‑12) vs Texas-San Antonio (10‑16) |
6 | E. Carolina Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 12% | 43% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 12% | 42% | 34% | ||
| Texas-San Antonio Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 10% | 44% | 37% | ||
| UAB (18‑9) vs Temple (14‑13) |
1 | UAB Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 12% | 43% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 12% | 42% | 34% | ||
| Temple Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 12% | 12% | 41% | 35% | ||
| North Texas (18‑6) vs South Florida (13‑14) |
1 | North Texas Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 12% | 42% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 12% | 42% | 34% | ||
| South Florida Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 12% | 42% | 35% | ||
| Wichita St. (16‑10) vs Tulane (15‑11) |
0 | Wichita St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 12% | 42% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 12% | 42% | 34% | ||
| Tulane Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 12% | 42% | 34% | ||
| Memphis (21‑5) vs Florida Atlantic (15‑11) |
0 | Memphis Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 12% | 42% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 12% | 42% | 34% | ||
| Florida Atlantic Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 12% | 42% | 34% | ||