The Most Important Games for the Tulane Green Wave are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Green Wave final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Tulane Green Wave fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Tulane Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11** First Round Bye |
12 | 13 | |||
| Tulane (11‑4) vs Texas-San Antonio (4‑11) |
74 | Tulane Wins | 22% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 21% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | ||
| Texas-San Antonio Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 5% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Wichita St. (9‑7) vs North Texas (10‑6) |
7 | Wichita St. Wins | 21% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 21% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 21% | 16% | 13% | 11% | ||
| North Texas Wins | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| E. Carolina (5‑10) vs UAB (10‑6) |
6 | E. Carolina Wins | 21% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 21% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 21% | 16% | 13% | 10% | ||
| UAB Wins | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Memphis (7‑7) vs Florida Atlantic (10‑6) |
2 | Memphis Wins | 21% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 21% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 22% | 16% | 13% | 10% | ||
| Florida Atlantic Wins | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Rice (7‑9) vs Charlotte (8‑8) |
2 | Rice Wins | 20% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 21% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 21% | 16% | 13% | 11% | ||
| Charlotte Wins | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| South Florida (9‑6) vs Tulsa (13‑2) |
1 | South Florida Wins | 23% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 21% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 21% | 16% | 13% | 11% | ||
| Tulsa Wins | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||