The Black Knights Army What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Black Knights plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |
Win Next Game | 7 | 0 | 72% | 26% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Current Standings | 6 | 0 | 49% | 31% | 13% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Lose Next Game | 6 | 1 | 20% | 42% | 26% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |
Best Case Scenario | 50% | 35% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Current Standings | 49% | 31% | 13% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Worst Case Scenario | 52% | 27% | 13% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Best Case Scenario Tulane beats North Texas |
Worst Case Scenario North Texas beats Tulane |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | ||
2 of 2 | 100% | 8 | 0 | 79% | 21% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
1 of 2 | 50% | 7 | 1 | 26% | 51% | 20% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
0 of 2 | 0% | 6 | 2 | 1% | 13% | 34% | 36% | 14% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |