The Most Important Games for the Black Knights Army are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Army final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Black Knights Army fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Black Knights Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Black Knights (4‑2) vs Tulsa (4‑3) |
24 | Black Knights Wins | 14% | 22% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tulsa Wins | 2% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Navy (2‑4) vs North Texas (4‑2) |
4 | Navy Wins | 12% | 18% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| North Texas Wins | 9% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| East Carolina (3‑3) vs Memphis (5‑2) |
2 | East Carolina Wins | 10% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Memphis Wins | 10% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tulane (3‑3) vs UTSA (6‑1) |
2 | Tulane Wins | 13% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UTSA Wins | 8% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rice (1‑6) vs Florida Atlantic (4‑2) |
2 | Rice Wins | 10% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Florida Atlantic Wins | 10% | 17% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||