The Most Important Games for the Memphis Tigers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tigers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Memphis Tigers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Memphis Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Memphis (8‑2) vs East Carolina (6‑3) |
19 | Memphis Wins | 1% | 18% | 25% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 10% | 14% | 13% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| East Carolina Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 22% | 27% | 27% | 13% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| UAB (3‑6) vs North Texas (8‑1) |
11 | UAB Wins | 1% | 18% | 11% | 12% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 10% | 14% | 13% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Texas Wins | 1% | 8% | 16% | 13% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Navy (7‑2) vs South Florida (7‑2) |
7 | Navy Wins | 1% | 14% | 17% | 6% | 15% | 21% | 16% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 10% | 14% | 13% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| South Florida Wins | 1% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 23% | 18% | 14% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Florida Atlantic (4‑5) vs Tulane (7‑2) |
4 | Florida Atlantic Wins | 3% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 18% | 18% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 10% | 14% | 13% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tulane Wins | <1% | 10% | 15% | 13% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Charlotte (1‑8) vs UTSA (4‑5) |
0 | Charlotte Wins | 1% | 10% | 15% | 13% | 22% | 18% | 14% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 10% | 14% | 13% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| UTSA Wins | 1% | 10% | 15% | 13% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||